**Trader sentiment for Manila's August 1 maximum temperature centers on PAGASA forecasts of 25–33°C under the influence of a low-pressure area east of southern Luzon, which is expected to deliver cloudy skies, scattered showers, and afternoon thunderstorms with a 70% rain probability.** These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, capping daytime peaks near seasonal norms of 31–32°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with 33°C holding the edge due to potential breaks in cloud cover during morning hours, while 32°C gains support if convection develops earlier. High humidity and typical monsoon steering patterns further constrain extremes, keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher below 20% absent a significant forecast shift. Updated PAGASA briefings and NWP guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will likely refine the final distribution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Manila on August 1?
33°C 35%
32°C 29%
34°C 19%
31°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
29%
33°C
35%
34°C
19%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 35%
32°C 29%
34°C 19%
31°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
29%
33°C
35%
34°C
19%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 30, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Manila's August 1 maximum temperature centers on PAGASA forecasts of 25–33°C under the influence of a low-pressure area east of southern Luzon, which is expected to deliver cloudy skies, scattered showers, and afternoon thunderstorms with a 70% rain probability.** These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, capping daytime peaks near seasonal norms of 31–32°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with 33°C holding the edge due to potential breaks in cloud cover during morning hours, while 32°C gains support if convection develops earlier. High humidity and typical monsoon steering patterns further constrain extremes, keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher below 20% absent a significant forecast shift. Updated PAGASA briefings and NWP guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will likely refine the final distribution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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