Recent ensemble and deterministic model runs from sources like ECMWF and GFS show Istanbul reaching a daytime maximum of 24–25°C on September 8 under mostly clear skies and persistent northeasterly flow of 15–25 km/h. This pattern, typical for early September, limits strong surface heating while suppressing cloud cover and precipitation, keeping the thermal profile close to climatological norms of 23–26°C. Trader positioning at 61% implied probability for 24°C reflects the tight clustering of these forecasts, with only modest upside risk from any late warming in the boundary layer. Updated high-resolution guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shift in odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 8?
24°C 64%
25°C 24%
23°C 8%
22°C 7%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
8%
24°C
64%
25°C
24%
26°C
5%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
2%
24°C 64%
25°C 24%
23°C 8%
22°C 7%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
8%
24°C
64%
25°C
24%
26°C
5%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble and deterministic model runs from sources like ECMWF and GFS show Istanbul reaching a daytime maximum of 24–25°C on September 8 under mostly clear skies and persistent northeasterly flow of 15–25 km/h. This pattern, typical for early September, limits strong surface heating while suppressing cloud cover and precipitation, keeping the thermal profile close to climatological norms of 23–26°C. Trader positioning at 61% implied probability for 24°C reflects the tight clustering of these forecasts, with only modest upside risk from any late warming in the boundary layer. Updated high-resolution guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shift in odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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