Trader consensus centers on 28°C as the most probable high for Istanbul on August 24 due to strong alignment with long-term August climatology (typical daily maxima near 28–29°C) and recent extended-range model guidance showing stable late-summer conditions without significant synoptic forcing. Current observations from mid-to-late August indicate daily peaks of 30–33°C (86–91°F) under mostly sunny skies with light northerly breezes and moderate humidity, yet forecasts for the 24th have settled near the seasonal norm as transient ridging weakens and marine influence from the Bosphorus and Black Sea (sea-surface temperatures ~24–25°C) provides cooling. Ensemble agreement among major models favors a narrow 27–29°C window, with limited upside risk from diurnal heating or downslope effects. Upcoming National Meteorological Service or ECMWF updates on the 23rd–24th could refine this range ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
28°C 53%
29°C 21%
27°C 20%
26°C 4%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
53%
29°C
21%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 53%
29°C 21%
27°C 20%
26°C 4%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
53%
29°C
21%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 28°C as the most probable high for Istanbul on August 24 due to strong alignment with long-term August climatology (typical daily maxima near 28–29°C) and recent extended-range model guidance showing stable late-summer conditions without significant synoptic forcing. Current observations from mid-to-late August indicate daily peaks of 30–33°C (86–91°F) under mostly sunny skies with light northerly breezes and moderate humidity, yet forecasts for the 24th have settled near the seasonal norm as transient ridging weakens and marine influence from the Bosphorus and Black Sea (sea-surface temperatures ~24–25°C) provides cooling. Ensemble agreement among major models favors a narrow 27–29°C window, with limited upside risk from diurnal heating or downslope effects. Upcoming National Meteorological Service or ECMWF updates on the 23rd–24th could refine this range ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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