Recent numerical weather prediction runs and model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office, timeanddate.com, and BBC position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul's August 10 maximum, reflected in the 55% market-implied probability, with 27°C close behind at 26.5%. Persistent high-pressure dominance, moderate northerly Etesian winds, and mostly clear skies favor peak readings in the mid-to-upper 20s under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, consistent with climatological August averages near 27–29°C. Minor forecast spreads arise from potential variations in boundary-layer moisture or brief cloud development, while stable synoptic patterns limit upside risk above 30°C. Updated model cycles through resolution remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 10?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 10?
28°C 55%
27°C 27%
29°C 15%
26°C 5%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 10, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
27%
28°C
55%
29°C
15%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 55%
27°C 27%
29°C 15%
26°C 5%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 10, 2026
23°C or below
$325 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$410 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$246 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$222 Vol.
5%
27°C
$504 Vol.
27%
28°C
$2,046 Vol.
55%
29°C
$375 Vol.
15%
30°C
$140 Vol.
3%
31°C
$151 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$160 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$271 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs and model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office, timeanddate.com, and BBC position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul's August 10 maximum, reflected in the 55% market-implied probability, with 27°C close behind at 26.5%. Persistent high-pressure dominance, moderate northerly Etesian winds, and mostly clear skies favor peak readings in the mid-to-upper 20s under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, consistent with climatological August averages near 27–29°C. Minor forecast spreads arise from potential variations in boundary-layer moisture or brief cloud development, while stable synoptic patterns limit upside risk above 30°C. Updated model cycles through resolution remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$4,851শেষ তারিখ
Aug 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs and model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office, timeanddate.com, and BBC position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul's August 10 maximum, reflected in the 55% market-implied probability, with 27°C close behind at 26.5%. Persistent high-pressure dominance, moderate northerly Etesian winds, and mostly clear skies favor peak readings in the mid-to-upper 20s under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, consistent with climatological August averages near 27–29°C. Minor forecast spreads arise from potential variations in boundary-layer moisture or brief cloud development, while stable synoptic patterns limit upside risk above 30°C. Updated model cycles through resolution remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$4,851শেষ তারিখ
Aug 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs and model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office, timeanddate.com, and BBC position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul's August 10 maximum, reflected in the 55% market-implied probability, with 27°C close behind at 26.5%. Persistent high-pressure dominance, moderate northerly Etesian winds, and mostly clear skies favor peak readings in the mid-to-upper 20s under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, consistent with climatological August averages near 27–29°C. Minor forecast spreads arise from potential variations in boundary-layer moisture or brief cloud development, while stable synoptic patterns limit upside risk above 30°C. Updated model cycles through resolution remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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