**Trader consensus around a 33°C peak for Hong Kong on September 12, 2026, reflects confirmed observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory showing an afternoon maximum of 33.1°C under partly cloudy conditions with moderate easterly flow.** Real-time station readings captured the diurnal rise peaking near 15:30 local time, consistent with typical mid-September climatology when sea breezes and humidity moderate but do not fully suppress daytime heating. The 99.8% market-implied probability for 33°C indicates traders assessed that the official absolute daily maximum would settle squarely in this bin once finalized in the Observatory’s daily extract. Realistic challenges remain limited to rare post-processing revisions or measurement discrepancies, though historical patterns show such adjustments rarely alter the reported maximum by a full degree. Updated model runs and range conditions ahead of similar near-term dates will continue to inform positioning where uncertainty is higher.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
33°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$130,334 Vol.
$130,334 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$130,334 Vol.
$130,334 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
$374 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$608 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,821 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$7,704 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$16,310 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$36,954 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$26,674 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$28,083 Vol.
100%
34°C
$7,215 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,466 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus around a 33°C peak for Hong Kong on September 12, 2026, reflects confirmed observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory showing an afternoon maximum of 33.1°C under partly cloudy conditions with moderate easterly flow.** Real-time station readings captured the diurnal rise peaking near 15:30 local time, consistent with typical mid-September climatology when sea breezes and humidity moderate but do not fully suppress daytime heating. The 99.8% market-implied probability for 33°C indicates traders assessed that the official absolute daily maximum would settle squarely in this bin once finalized in the Observatory’s daily extract.
Realistic challenges remain limited to rare post-processing revisions or measurement discrepancies, though historical patterns show such adjustments rarely alter the reported maximum by a full degree. Updated model runs and range conditions ahead of similar near-term dates will continue to inform positioning where uncertainty is higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$130,334শেষ তারিখ
Sep 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus around a 33°C peak for Hong Kong on September 12, 2026, reflects confirmed observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory showing an afternoon maximum of 33.1°C under partly cloudy conditions with moderate easterly flow.** Real-time station readings captured the diurnal rise peaking near 15:30 local time, consistent with typical mid-September climatology when sea breezes and humidity moderate but do not fully suppress daytime heating. The 99.8% market-implied probability for 33°C indicates traders assessed that the official absolute daily maximum would settle squarely in this bin once finalized in the Observatory’s daily extract.
Realistic challenges remain limited to rare post-processing revisions or measurement discrepancies, though historical patterns show such adjustments rarely alter the reported maximum by a full degree. Updated model runs and range conditions ahead of similar near-term dates will continue to inform positioning where uncertainty is higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$130,334শেষ তারিখ
Sep 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus around a 33°C peak for Hong Kong on September 12, 2026, reflects confirmed observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory showing an afternoon maximum of 33.1°C under partly cloudy conditions with moderate easterly flow.** Real-time station readings captured the diurnal rise peaking near 15:30 local time, consistent with typical mid-September climatology when sea breezes and humidity moderate but do not fully suppress daytime heating. The 99.8% market-implied probability for 33°C indicates traders assessed that the official absolute daily maximum would settle squarely in this bin once finalized in the Observatory’s daily extract. Realistic challenges remain limited to rare post-processing revisions or measurement discrepancies, though historical patterns show such adjustments rarely alter the reported maximum by a full degree. Updated model runs and range conditions ahead of similar near-term dates will continue to inform positioning where uncertainty is higher.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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