Recent National Weather Service and supporting model guidance indicate a high near 99°F for Austin on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, south winds of 5–10 mph, and elevated dew points that support strong afternoon heating while limiting full clearing. This places the most likely outcome in the upper 90s, consistent with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 37% implied probability, just ahead of 100–101°F at 32.5%. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or minor steering changes could determine whether the peak stays below or edges into the low 100s. Historical September 14 averages near 91°F underscore the current anomaly, but the tight spread between the top two bins reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the final 24 hours before official Austin-Bergstrom observations resolve the market.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Austin on September 14?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 14?
98-99°F 37%
100-101°F 33%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F 12%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 14, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
37%
100-101°F
33%
102-103°F
12%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 37%
100-101°F 33%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F 12%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 14, 2026
89°F or below
$117 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
10%
96-97°F
$69 Vol.
16%
98-99°F
$55 Vol.
37%
100-101°F
$417 Vol.
33%
102-103°F
$484 Vol.
12%
104-105°F
$61 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$7 Vol.
1%
108°F or higher
$161 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and supporting model guidance indicate a high near 99°F for Austin on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, south winds of 5–10 mph, and elevated dew points that support strong afternoon heating while limiting full clearing. This places the most likely outcome in the upper 90s, consistent with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 37% implied probability, just ahead of 100–101°F at 32.5%. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or minor steering changes could determine whether the peak stays below or edges into the low 100s. Historical September 14 averages near 91°F underscore the current anomaly, but the tight spread between the top two bins reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the final 24 hours before official Austin-Bergstrom observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,371শেষ তারিখ
Sep 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and supporting model guidance indicate a high near 99°F for Austin on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, south winds of 5–10 mph, and elevated dew points that support strong afternoon heating while limiting full clearing. This places the most likely outcome in the upper 90s, consistent with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 37% implied probability, just ahead of 100–101°F at 32.5%. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or minor steering changes could determine whether the peak stays below or edges into the low 100s. Historical September 14 averages near 91°F underscore the current anomaly, but the tight spread between the top two bins reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the final 24 hours before official Austin-Bergstrom observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,371শেষ তারিখ
Sep 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and supporting model guidance indicate a high near 99°F for Austin on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, south winds of 5–10 mph, and elevated dew points that support strong afternoon heating while limiting full clearing. This places the most likely outcome in the upper 90s, consistent with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 37% implied probability, just ahead of 100–101°F at 32.5%. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or minor steering changes could determine whether the peak stays below or edges into the low 100s. Historical September 14 averages near 91°F underscore the current anomaly, but the tight spread between the top two bins reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the final 24 hours before official Austin-Bergstrom observations resolve the market.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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