Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a daily maximum temperature most likely between 24–26°C on September 14, driven by the seasonal shift into mid-autumn cooling combined with incoming cloud cover and light rain that limit solar heating and suppress peaks below early-September norms. Model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows modest variability tied to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, with historical climatology placing the mid-September average near 25°C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because short-range numerical weather prediction runs remain sensitive to small shifts in steering flow and convective timing, while longer-term outlooks point to continued moderation through the week. Updated model guidance and official observations expected overnight will likely refine resolution criteria for this temperature threshold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 14?
25°C 31%
26°C 25%
24°C 20%
27°C 14%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
6%
24°C
20%
25°C
31%
26°C
25%
27°C
14%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 31%
26°C 25%
24°C 20%
27°C 14%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
6%
24°C
20%
25°C
31%
26°C
25%
27°C
14%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a daily maximum temperature most likely between 24–26°C on September 14, driven by the seasonal shift into mid-autumn cooling combined with incoming cloud cover and light rain that limit solar heating and suppress peaks below early-September norms. Model consensus from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows modest variability tied to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, with historical climatology placing the mid-September average near 25°C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because short-range numerical weather prediction runs remain sensitive to small shifts in steering flow and convective timing, while longer-term outlooks point to continued moderation through the week. Updated model guidance and official observations expected overnight will likely refine resolution criteria for this temperature threshold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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