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美国 预测与赔率

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United States vs. Paraguay

United States vs. Paraguay

28%

Yes

$412K 交易量

$84.5K today

$882K Liq.

Ends 3 天内

United States vs. Australia

United States vs. Australia

25%

Yes

$41.6K 交易量

$112K Liq.

Ends 10 天内

Türkiye vs. United States

Türkiye vs. United States

28%

Yes

$8.3K 交易量

$93.3K Liq.

Ends 16 天内

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

95%

California

$300K 交易量

$237K Liq.

5

Ends 5 个月内

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

56%

July 31

$30M 交易量

$451K today

$227K Liq.

573

Ends 20 天内

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

61%

No Meeting by June 30

$8M 交易量

$102K today

$519K Liq.

Ends 20 天内

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

97%

No meeting by June 30

$8M 交易量

$341K Liq.

Ends 20 天内

World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)

World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)

19%

Spain

$139K 交易量

$2M Liq.

1

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

32%

United States

$129K 交易量

$84.1K Liq.

Ends 20 天内

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

62%

No meeting by December 31

$47.2K 交易量

$192K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

98%

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$6.3K 交易量

$8.6K Liq.

Ends 1 天内

World Cup: Fair Play Award Winner

World Cup: Fair Play Award Winner

26%

Japan

$47.9K 交易量

$830K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

World Cup: Furthest Advancing Host Nation

World Cup: Furthest Advancing Host Nation

45%

Mexico

$2.3K 交易量

$51.2K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

45%

100–129

$372 交易量

$535 Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

57%

Rwanda

$14.8K 交易量

$4.1K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

76%

1250+

$72.9K 交易量

$5.7K Liq.

2

Ends 7 个月内

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

36%

Keith Sonderling

$45.7K 交易量

$8.6K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

47%

160–189

$1.7K 交易量

$1.8K Liq.

Ends 28 天内

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

-

$2.6K 交易量

Ends 4 个月前

World Cup: USA Stage of Elimination

World Cup: USA Stage of Elimination

39%

Round of 32

$480 交易量

$89.1K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 美国 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 764 个活跃的 美国 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"United States vs. Paraguay"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $48.2M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?",市场目前认为 July 31 的概率为 56%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 美国 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。