Wyoming's solidly Republican electorate and the August 18 primary results have driven the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted not to seek reelection and endorsed U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who secured the nomination with roughly 63 percent of the vote against several challengers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe Republican, consistent with the state's consistent double-digit margins for GOP Senate candidates in recent cycles. The Democratic nominee emerging from a low-turnout primary faces structural headwinds in a state where Republican registration and voting patterns dominate. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political realignment remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,713 交易量
$16,713 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
96%
民主党
2%
$16,713 交易量
$16,713 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$11,081 交易量
96%
民主党
$5,632 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's solidly Republican electorate and the August 18 primary results have driven the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted not to seek reelection and endorsed U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who secured the nomination with roughly 63 percent of the vote against several challengers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe Republican, consistent with the state's consistent double-digit margins for GOP Senate candidates in recent cycles. The Democratic nominee emerging from a low-turnout primary faces structural headwinds in a state where Republican registration and voting patterns dominate. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political realignment remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$16,713结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's solidly Republican electorate and the August 18 primary results have driven the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted not to seek reelection and endorsed U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who secured the nomination with roughly 63 percent of the vote against several challengers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe Republican, consistent with the state's consistent double-digit margins for GOP Senate candidates in recent cycles. The Democratic nominee emerging from a low-turnout primary faces structural headwinds in a state where Republican registration and voting patterns dominate. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political realignment remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$16,713结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's solidly Republican electorate and the August 18 primary results have driven the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted not to seek reelection and endorsed U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who secured the nomination with roughly 63 percent of the vote against several challengers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe Republican, consistent with the state's consistent double-digit margins for GOP Senate candidates in recent cycles. The Democratic nominee emerging from a low-turnout primary faces structural headwinds in a state where Republican registration and voting patterns dominate. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political realignment remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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