Trump shows no public indications of planning to resign before the end of his term in January 2029, and related Polymarket contracts price the chance of departure before 2027 at just 4-6 percent. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a completed term given the absence of credible health, legal, or political triggers strong enough to prompt voluntary exit, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents rarely resign absent extreme pressure. Related staff departures and partisan commentary on potential mid-term fatigue have not shifted odds. Low-probability scenarios that could still move the market include sudden medical developments or unforeseen scandals prompting an early transition, though none appear imminent as of mid-2026.