Recent fiscal data show the U.S. deficit on pace to exceed $2 trillion in FY2026, above the prior year’s roughly $1.8 trillion level, with cumulative borrowing through July already at $1.8 trillion. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act and related tax and immigration measures are scored by the Congressional Budget Office as adding several trillion dollars to debt over the decade, only partially offset by tariffs whose net revenue has declined after the Supreme Court limited certain authorities and triggered refunds. Discretionary spending cuts and efficiency initiatives have produced limited verifiable savings relative to mandatory outlays and rising interest costs, which now exceed $1 trillion annually. With debt surpassing $40 trillion and CBO baselines projecting continued growth through 2027, trader consensus reflects the absence of enacted policies sufficient to produce a net reduction before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
10% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
10% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
The U.S. federal budget deficit for September 2025 was $197,949,630,362.16 (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) reports a lower monthly deficit in December 2026 than in September 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury (fiscaldata.treasury.gov). The month surplus can be found in the column labeled "Current Month Deficit Surplus Amount" in the the table "Summary of Receipts, Outlays, and Surplus or Deficit” in the MTS (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government). If no report is published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET another credible source will be used.Recent fiscal data show the U.S. deficit on pace to exceed $2 trillion in FY2026, above the prior year’s roughly $1.8 trillion level, with cumulative borrowing through July already at $1.8 trillion. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act and related tax and immigration measures are scored by the Congressional Budget Office as adding several trillion dollars to debt over the decade, only partially offset by tariffs whose net revenue has declined after the Supreme Court limited certain authorities and triggered refunds. Discretionary spending cuts and efficiency initiatives have produced limited verifiable savings relative to mandatory outlays and rising interest costs, which now exceed $1 trillion annually. With debt surpassing $40 trillion and CBO baselines projecting continued growth through 2027, trader consensus reflects the absence of enacted policies sufficient to produce a net reduction before the deadline.
The U.S. federal budget deficit for September 2025 was $197,949,630,362.16 (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) reports a lower monthly deficit in December 2026 than in September 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury (fiscaldata.treasury.gov). The month surplus can be found in the column labeled "Current Month Deficit Surplus Amount" in the the table "Summary of Receipts, Outlays, and Surplus or Deficit” in the MTS (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government). If no report is published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET another credible source will be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) reports a lower monthly deficit in December 2026 than in September 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury (fiscaldata.treasury.gov). The month surplus can be found in the column labeled "Current Month Deficit Surplus Amount" in the the table "Summary of Receipts, Outlays, and Surplus or Deficit” in the MTS (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government). If no report is published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET another credible source will be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:13 PM ET
交易量
$3,034结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:13 PM ETThe U.S. federal budget deficit for September 2025 was $197,949,630,362.16 (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) reports a lower monthly deficit in December 2026 than in September 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury (fiscaldata.treasury.gov). The month surplus can be found in the column labeled "Current Month Deficit Surplus Amount" in the the table "Summary of Receipts, Outlays, and Surplus or Deficit” in the MTS (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government). If no report is published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET another credible source will be used.Recent fiscal data show the U.S. deficit on pace to exceed $2 trillion in FY2026, above the prior year’s roughly $1.8 trillion level, with cumulative borrowing through July already at $1.8 trillion. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act and related tax and immigration measures are scored by the Congressional Budget Office as adding several trillion dollars to debt over the decade, only partially offset by tariffs whose net revenue has declined after the Supreme Court limited certain authorities and triggered refunds. Discretionary spending cuts and efficiency initiatives have produced limited verifiable savings relative to mandatory outlays and rising interest costs, which now exceed $1 trillion annually. With debt surpassing $40 trillion and CBO baselines projecting continued growth through 2027, trader consensus reflects the absence of enacted policies sufficient to produce a net reduction before the deadline.
The U.S. federal budget deficit for September 2025 was $197,949,630,362.16 (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) reports a lower monthly deficit in December 2026 than in September 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury (fiscaldata.treasury.gov). The month surplus can be found in the column labeled "Current Month Deficit Surplus Amount" in the the table "Summary of Receipts, Outlays, and Surplus or Deficit” in the MTS (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government). If no report is published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET another credible source will be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) reports a lower monthly deficit in December 2026 than in September 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury (fiscaldata.treasury.gov). The month surplus can be found in the column labeled "Current Month Deficit Surplus Amount" in the the table "Summary of Receipts, Outlays, and Surplus or Deficit” in the MTS (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government). If no report is published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET another credible source will be used.
交易量
$3,034结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:13 PM ETRecent fiscal data show the U.S. deficit on pace to exceed $2 trillion in FY2026, above the prior year’s roughly $1.8 trillion level, with cumulative borrowing through July already at $1.8 trillion. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act and related tax and immigration measures are scored by the Congressional Budget Office as adding several trillion dollars to debt over the decade, only partially offset by tariffs whose net revenue has declined after the Supreme Court limited certain authorities and triggered refunds. Discretionary spending cuts and efficiency initiatives have produced limited verifiable savings relative to mandatory outlays and rising interest costs, which now exceed $1 trillion annually. With debt surpassing $40 trillion and CBO baselines projecting continued growth through 2027, trader consensus reflects the absence of enacted policies sufficient to produce a net reduction before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题