Lula’s ongoing effort to fill the Supreme Federal Court vacancy left by Luís Roberto Barroso’s October 2025 retirement centers on Senate confirmation dynamics and pre-electoral positioning ahead of Brazil’s October 2026 general vote. After the historic April 2026 rejection of Attorney General Jorge Messias by a 42-34 margin—the first such defeat in 132 years—Lula publicly reaffirmed plans to resubmit Messias or another candidate, potentially a woman. Recent rapprochement with Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has revived negotiations, with government sources discussing submission windows before or between election rounds to build the required 41-vote majority while avoiding renewed public disputes. The prolonged 10-justice composition has already delayed court proceedings, reinforcing Lula’s stated intent to exercise his constitutional prerogative before term’s end rather than defer to a successor. Trader consensus on announcement timing reflects these coalition calculations and election-calendar pressures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,477 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
11%
12月31日
66%
$21,477 交易量
9月30日
$2,263 交易量
11%
12月31日
$5,465 交易量
66%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lula’s ongoing effort to fill the Supreme Federal Court vacancy left by Luís Roberto Barroso’s October 2025 retirement centers on Senate confirmation dynamics and pre-electoral positioning ahead of Brazil’s October 2026 general vote. After the historic April 2026 rejection of Attorney General Jorge Messias by a 42-34 margin—the first such defeat in 132 years—Lula publicly reaffirmed plans to resubmit Messias or another candidate, potentially a woman. Recent rapprochement with Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has revived negotiations, with government sources discussing submission windows before or between election rounds to build the required 41-vote majority while avoiding renewed public disputes. The prolonged 10-justice composition has already delayed court proceedings, reinforcing Lula’s stated intent to exercise his constitutional prerogative before term’s end rather than defer to a successor. Trader consensus on announcement timing reflects these coalition calculations and election-calendar pressures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 2, 2026, 9:12 PM ET
交易量
$21,477结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 9:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lula’s ongoing effort to fill the Supreme Federal Court vacancy left by Luís Roberto Barroso’s October 2025 retirement centers on Senate confirmation dynamics and pre-electoral positioning ahead of Brazil’s October 2026 general vote. After the historic April 2026 rejection of Attorney General Jorge Messias by a 42-34 margin—the first such defeat in 132 years—Lula publicly reaffirmed plans to resubmit Messias or another candidate, potentially a woman. Recent rapprochement with Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has revived negotiations, with government sources discussing submission windows before or between election rounds to build the required 41-vote majority while avoiding renewed public disputes. The prolonged 10-justice composition has already delayed court proceedings, reinforcing Lula’s stated intent to exercise his constitutional prerogative before term’s end rather than defer to a successor. Trader consensus on announcement timing reflects these coalition calculations and election-calendar pressures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$21,477结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 9:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Lula’s ongoing effort to fill the Supreme Federal Court vacancy left by Luís Roberto Barroso’s October 2025 retirement centers on Senate confirmation dynamics and pre-electoral positioning ahead of Brazil’s October 2026 general vote. After the historic April 2026 rejection of Attorney General Jorge Messias by a 42-34 margin—the first such defeat in 132 years—Lula publicly reaffirmed plans to resubmit Messias or another candidate, potentially a woman. Recent rapprochement with Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has revived negotiations, with government sources discussing submission windows before or between election rounds to build the required 41-vote majority while avoiding renewed public disputes. The prolonged 10-justice composition has already delayed court proceedings, reinforcing Lula’s stated intent to exercise his constitutional prerogative before term’s end rather than defer to a successor. Trader consensus on announcement timing reflects these coalition calculations and election-calendar pressures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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