Elon Musk's posting pace on X has moderated into a mid-range band for the August 22–24 window, positioning the 40–64 bracket as the clear market leader at roughly 51.5% implied probability. Traders appear to be pricing in a return to baseline volume after elevated activity in the preceding Aug 20–22 period, where daily counts frequently exceeded 30 posts amid ongoing company updates and platform commentary. Historical patterns show Musk's output fluctuates sharply with news cycles, Tesla or SpaceX milestones, and cultural flashpoints, yet no major catalysts have surfaced in the current stretch to drive sustained spikes. The market's secondary weighting on sub-40 outcomes further reflects expectations of a quieter weekend close, with any late announcements or viral moments serving as the primary swing factors before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于40-64 52%
少于40 32%
65-89 17%
90-114 2.5%
$215,318 交易量
$215,318 交易量
2026-08-24
少于40
32%
40-64
52%
65-89
17%
90-114
2%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 52%
少于40 32%
65-89 17%
90-114 2.5%
$215,318 交易量
$215,318 交易量
2026-08-24
少于40
$30,772 交易量
32%
40-64
$24,027 交易量
52%
65-89
$17,905 交易量
17%
90-114
$29,416 交易量
2%
115-139
$41,474 交易量
1%
140-164
$16,522 交易量
<1%
165-189
$28,187 交易量
1%
190-214
$14,520 交易量
<1%
215-239
$8,044 交易量
<1%
240+
$4,452 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's posting pace on X has moderated into a mid-range band for the August 22–24 window, positioning the 40–64 bracket as the clear market leader at roughly 51.5% implied probability. Traders appear to be pricing in a return to baseline volume after elevated activity in the preceding Aug 20–22 period, where daily counts frequently exceeded 30 posts amid ongoing company updates and platform commentary. Historical patterns show Musk's output fluctuates sharply with news cycles, Tesla or SpaceX milestones, and cultural flashpoints, yet no major catalysts have surfaced in the current stretch to drive sustained spikes. The market's secondary weighting on sub-40 outcomes further reflects expectations of a quieter weekend close, with any late announcements or viral moments serving as the primary swing factors before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
交易量
$215,318结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's posting pace on X has moderated into a mid-range band for the August 22–24 window, positioning the 40–64 bracket as the clear market leader at roughly 51.5% implied probability. Traders appear to be pricing in a return to baseline volume after elevated activity in the preceding Aug 20–22 period, where daily counts frequently exceeded 30 posts amid ongoing company updates and platform commentary. Historical patterns show Musk's output fluctuates sharply with news cycles, Tesla or SpaceX milestones, and cultural flashpoints, yet no major catalysts have surfaced in the current stretch to drive sustained spikes. The market's secondary weighting on sub-40 outcomes further reflects expectations of a quieter weekend close, with any late announcements or viral moments serving as the primary swing factors before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$215,318结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's posting pace on X has moderated into a mid-range band for the August 22–24 window, positioning the 40–64 bracket as the clear market leader at roughly 51.5% implied probability. Traders appear to be pricing in a return to baseline volume after elevated activity in the preceding Aug 20–22 period, where daily counts frequently exceeded 30 posts amid ongoing company updates and platform commentary. Historical patterns show Musk's output fluctuates sharply with news cycles, Tesla or SpaceX milestones, and cultural flashpoints, yet no major catalysts have surfaced in the current stretch to drive sustained spikes. The market's secondary weighting on sub-40 outcomes further reflects expectations of a quieter weekend close, with any late announcements or viral moments serving as the primary swing factors before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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