Greenland's major parties, including the ruling Demokraatit-led coalition, prioritize a gradual path to independence and have deferred any referendum until after a constitutional commission reports its findings in late 2026 at the earliest. Parliamentary elections in 2025 reinforced this approach, with voters favoring parties that stress economic readiness over rapid separation from Denmark. Polls consistently show majority support for eventual independence in principle, yet widespread caution tied to living standards, block grants, and institutional arrangements. This political and procedural timeline underpins the 95.5% trader consensus against a 2026 vote. Late developments such as resource discoveries, coalition shifts, or external diplomatic pressure could still prompt earlier action, though none appear imminent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
5% 概率
$47,956 交易量
$47,956 交易量
2026-12-30
是
5% 概率
$47,956 交易量
$47,956 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Greenland's major parties, including the ruling Demokraatit-led coalition, prioritize a gradual path to independence and have deferred any referendum until after a constitutional commission reports its findings in late 2026 at the earliest. Parliamentary elections in 2025 reinforced this approach, with voters favoring parties that stress economic readiness over rapid separation from Denmark. Polls consistently show majority support for eventual independence in principle, yet widespread caution tied to living standards, block grants, and institutional arrangements. This political and procedural timeline underpins the 95.5% trader consensus against a 2026 vote. Late developments such as resource discoveries, coalition shifts, or external diplomatic pressure could still prompt earlier action, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$47,956结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Greenland's major parties, including the ruling Demokraatit-led coalition, prioritize a gradual path to independence and have deferred any referendum until after a constitutional commission reports its findings in late 2026 at the earliest. Parliamentary elections in 2025 reinforced this approach, with voters favoring parties that stress economic readiness over rapid separation from Denmark. Polls consistently show majority support for eventual independence in principle, yet widespread caution tied to living standards, block grants, and institutional arrangements. This political and procedural timeline underpins the 95.5% trader consensus against a 2026 vote. Late developments such as resource discoveries, coalition shifts, or external diplomatic pressure could still prompt earlier action, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$47,956结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Greenland's major parties, including the ruling Demokraatit-led coalition, prioritize a gradual path to independence and have deferred any referendum until after a constitutional commission reports its findings in late 2026 at the earliest. Parliamentary elections in 2025 reinforced this approach, with voters favoring parties that stress economic readiness over rapid separation from Denmark. Polls consistently show majority support for eventual independence in principle, yet widespread caution tied to living standards, block grants, and institutional arrangements. This political and procedural timeline underpins the 95.5% trader consensus against a 2026 vote. Late developments such as resource discoveries, coalition shifts, or external diplomatic pressure could still prompt earlier action, though none appear imminent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题