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icon for 特朗普将宣布谁将担任下一任FDA专员?

特朗普将宣布谁将担任下一任FDA专员?

icon for 特朗普将宣布谁将担任下一任FDA专员?

特朗普将宣布谁将担任下一任FDA专员?

斯蒂芬·哈恩 <1%

凯尔·迪亚曼塔斯 <1%

萨拉·布伦纳 <1%

截至12月31日没有宣布 <1%

Polymarket

$33,305 交易量

斯蒂芬·哈恩 <1%

凯尔·迪亚曼塔斯 <1%

萨拉·布伦纳 <1%

截至12月31日没有宣布 <1%

Polymarket

$33,305 交易量

凯尔·迪亚曼塔斯

$6,786 交易量

1%

斯蒂芬·哈恩

$4,144 交易量

1%

布雷特·吉鲁瓦尔

$5,265 交易量

<1%

格蕾丝·格雷厄姆

$6,683 交易量

<1%

萨拉·布伦纳

$7,418 交易量

1%

截至12月31日没有宣布

$3,007 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments, including the May 2026 resignation of prior commissioner Marty Makary and the subsequent acting role of Kyle Diamantas, have kept the FDA commissioner selection process fluid amid ongoing White House interviews with candidates such as Heidi Overton, Jeffrey Vacirca, and Stephen Ferrara. Trader sentiment reflects a fragmented field because no single contender has secured a decisive edge in vetting or alignment with priorities like regulatory modernization and agency leadership stability. Key differentiators include Overton's Domestic Policy Council experience versus Vacirca's oncology network leadership or Ferrara's Pentagon health background, alongside Senate confirmation dynamics and historical patterns of rapid executive branch nominations. Factors that could consolidate support include an imminent formal announcement, committee feedback, or shifts in administration focus before year-end deadlines.

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.

An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner.

Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$33,305
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 7:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments, including the May 2026 resignation of prior commissioner Marty Makary and the subsequent acting role of Kyle Diamantas, have kept the FDA commissioner selection process fluid amid ongoing White House interviews with candidates such as Heidi Overton, Jeffrey Vacirca, and Stephen Ferrara. Trader sentiment reflects a fragmented field because no single contender has secured a decisive edge in vetting or alignment with priorities like regulatory modernization and agency leadership stability. Key differentiators include Overton's Domestic Policy Council experience versus Vacirca's oncology network leadership or Ferrara's Pentagon health background, alongside Senate confirmation dynamics and historical patterns of rapid executive branch nominations. Factors that could consolidate support include an imminent formal announcement, committee feedback, or shifts in administration focus before year-end deadlines.

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.

An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner.

Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$33,305
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 7:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普将宣布谁将担任下一任FDA专员?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"凯尔·迪亚曼塔斯",概率为 1%,其次是"斯蒂芬·哈恩",概率为 1%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 1¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 1%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"特朗普将宣布谁将担任下一任FDA专员?"已产生 $33.3K 的总交易量(自May 12, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特朗普将宣布谁将担任下一任FDA专员?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"特朗普将宣布谁将担任下一任FDA专员?"的当前领先者是"凯尔·迪亚曼塔斯",仅有 1%,"斯蒂芬·哈恩"紧随其后为 1%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"特朗普将宣布谁将担任下一任FDA专员?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。