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icon for 谁将成为特朗普的下一任总检察长?

谁将成为特朗普的下一任总检察长?

icon for 谁将成为特朗普的下一任总检察长?

谁将成为特朗普的下一任总检察长?

托德·布兰奇 62%

安德鲁·贝利 49%

迈克·李 49%

阿莉娜·哈巴 48%

Polymarket
最新

托德·布兰奇 62%

安德鲁·贝利 49%

迈克·李 49%

阿莉娜·哈巴 48%

Polymarket
最新

托德·布兰奇

$0 交易量

62%

安德鲁·贝利

$0 交易量

49%

迈克·李

$0 交易量

49%

阿莉娜·哈巴

$0 交易量

48%

杰夫·克拉克

$0 交易量

48%

埃里克·施密特

$0 交易量

48%

罗恩·德桑蒂斯

$0 交易量

46%

珍妮·皮罗

$0 交易量

45%

哈米特·迪伦

$0 交易量

45%

李泽尔丁

$0 交易量

44%

泰德·克鲁兹

$0 交易量

34%

西德尼·鲍威尔

$0 交易量

19%

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Todd Blanche leads trader consensus at 64% for Trump's next Attorney General due to his prior role as personal counsel and involvement in high-profile legal matters during the transition and early second term. Recent developments, including shifts in administration legal priorities and Senate dynamics, have positioned him ahead of figures such as Lee Zeldin at 47.5% and Andrew Bailey at 48%, whose current executive and state roles factor into the implied probabilities. A broad group of other candidates clusters near 45-50%, reflecting uncertainty over nomination timing, confirmation votes, and potential late developments before any Senate floor action. Lower probabilities for names like Ted Cruz and Sidney Powell align with limited recent signals of consideration.

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.

If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2029-01-19
市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Todd Blanche leads trader consensus at 64% for Trump's next Attorney General due to his prior role as personal counsel and involvement in high-profile legal matters during the transition and early second term. Recent developments, including shifts in administration legal priorities and Senate dynamics, have positioned him ahead of figures such as Lee Zeldin at 47.5% and Andrew Bailey at 48%, whose current executive and state roles factor into the implied probabilities. A broad group of other candidates clusters near 45-50%, reflecting uncertainty over nomination timing, confirmation votes, and potential late developments before any Senate floor action. Lower probabilities for names like Ted Cruz and Sidney Powell align with limited recent signals of consideration.

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.

If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2029-01-19
市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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常见问题

"谁将成为特朗普的下一任总检察长?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 12 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"托德·布兰奇",概率为 62%,其次是"安德鲁·贝利",概率为 49%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 62¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 62%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"谁将成为特朗普的下一任总检察长?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jul 31, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"谁将成为特朗普的下一任总检察长?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 12 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将成为特朗普的下一任总检察长?"的当前领先者是"托德·布兰奇",概率为 62%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 62%。紧随其后的结果是"安德鲁·贝利",概率为 49%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将成为特朗普的下一任总检察长?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。