Todd Blanche leads trader consensus at 64% for Trump's next Attorney General due to his prior role as personal counsel and involvement in high-profile legal matters during the transition and early second term. Recent developments, including shifts in administration legal priorities and Senate dynamics, have positioned him ahead of figures such as Lee Zeldin at 47.5% and Andrew Bailey at 48%, whose current executive and state roles factor into the implied probabilities. A broad group of other candidates clusters near 45-50%, reflecting uncertainty over nomination timing, confirmation votes, and potential late developments before any Senate floor action. Lower probabilities for names like Ted Cruz and Sidney Powell align with limited recent signals of consideration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于托德·布兰奇 62%
安德鲁·贝利 49%
迈克·李 49%
阿莉娜·哈巴 48%
托德·布兰奇
62%
安德鲁·贝利
49%
迈克·李
49%
阿莉娜·哈巴
48%
杰夫·克拉克
48%
埃里克·施密特
48%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯
46%
珍妮·皮罗
45%
哈米特·迪伦
45%
李泽尔丁
44%
泰德·克鲁兹
34%
西德尼·鲍威尔
19%
托德·布兰奇 62%
安德鲁·贝利 49%
迈克·李 49%
阿莉娜·哈巴 48%
托德·布兰奇
62%
安德鲁·贝利
49%
迈克·李
49%
阿莉娜·哈巴
48%
杰夫·克拉克
48%
埃里克·施密特
48%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯
46%
珍妮·皮罗
45%
哈米特·迪伦
45%
李泽尔丁
44%
泰德·克鲁兹
34%
西德尼·鲍威尔
19%
A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.
If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.
If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Todd Blanche leads trader consensus at 64% for Trump's next Attorney General due to his prior role as personal counsel and involvement in high-profile legal matters during the transition and early second term. Recent developments, including shifts in administration legal priorities and Senate dynamics, have positioned him ahead of figures such as Lee Zeldin at 47.5% and Andrew Bailey at 48%, whose current executive and state roles factor into the implied probabilities. A broad group of other candidates clusters near 45-50%, reflecting uncertainty over nomination timing, confirmation votes, and potential late developments before any Senate floor action. Lower probabilities for names like Ted Cruz and Sidney Powell align with limited recent signals of consideration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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