Mortgage rates near 6.5% remain the dominant constraint on Los Angeles Metro housing demand, sustaining affordability challenges that have kept median values largely stable or modestly softer year-over-year around the $900K–$1M range through mid-2026. Rising inventory, though still below balanced-market levels, combined with limited seller turnover due to embedded low-rate mortgages, has tempered upward pressure while economic resilience in employment and migration provides support. With September 30 resolution only three months away and probabilities evenly distributed across narrow bands near $1.14M–$1.22M, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over any near-term Fed easing or seasonal sales data that could shift the trajectory within this tight window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1.169M - $1.185M 27%
$1.185M - $1.201M 18.4%
$1.153M - $1.169M 16%
$1,137,000 - $1,153,000 12%
$19,911 交易量
$19,911 交易量
2026-09-30
低于$1,137M
4%
$1,137,000 - $1,153,000
12%
$1.153M - $1.169M
21%
$1.169M - $1.185M
27%
$1.185M - $1.201M
18%
$1.201M - $1.216M
9%
$1.216M+
3%
$1.169M - $1.185M 27%
$1.185M - $1.201M 18.4%
$1.153M - $1.169M 16%
$1,137,000 - $1,153,000 12%
$19,911 交易量
$19,911 交易量
2026-09-30
低于$1,137M
$699 交易量
4%
$1,137,000 - $1,153,000
$4,307 交易量
12%
$1.153M - $1.169M
$789 交易量
21%
$1.169M - $1.185M
$5,057 交易量
27%
$1.185M - $1.201M
$5,784 交易量
18%
$1.201M - $1.216M
$2,935 交易量
9%
$1.216M+
$338 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)Mortgage rates near 6.5% remain the dominant constraint on Los Angeles Metro housing demand, sustaining affordability challenges that have kept median values largely stable or modestly softer year-over-year around the $900K–$1M range through mid-2026. Rising inventory, though still below balanced-market levels, combined with limited seller turnover due to embedded low-rate mortgages, has tempered upward pressure while economic resilience in employment and migration provides support. With September 30 resolution only three months away and probabilities evenly distributed across narrow bands near $1.14M–$1.22M, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over any near-term Fed easing or seasonal sales data that could shift the trajectory within this tight window.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
交易量
$19,911结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)Mortgage rates near 6.5% remain the dominant constraint on Los Angeles Metro housing demand, sustaining affordability challenges that have kept median values largely stable or modestly softer year-over-year around the $900K–$1M range through mid-2026. Rising inventory, though still below balanced-market levels, combined with limited seller turnover due to embedded low-rate mortgages, has tempered upward pressure while economic resilience in employment and migration provides support. With September 30 resolution only three months away and probabilities evenly distributed across narrow bands near $1.14M–$1.22M, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over any near-term Fed easing or seasonal sales data that could shift the trajectory within this tight window.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
交易量
$19,911结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mortgage rates near 6.5% remain the dominant constraint on Los Angeles Metro housing demand, sustaining affordability challenges that have kept median values largely stable or modestly softer year-over-year around the $900K–$1M range through mid-2026. Rising inventory, though still below balanced-market levels, combined with limited seller turnover due to embedded low-rate mortgages, has tempered upward pressure while economic resilience in employment and migration provides support. With September 30 resolution only three months away and probabilities evenly distributed across narrow bands near $1.14M–$1.22M, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over any near-term Fed easing or seasonal sales data that could shift the trajectory within this tight window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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