Recent data through July 2026 show New York City median sale prices and home values rising 3.9–6.2% year-over-year, with Zillow Home Value Index levels near $833,000 and listing medians around $689,000 amid tightening inventory and resilient demand. Elevated 30-year jumbo mortgage rates near 6.7% and the Federal Reserve’s steady 3.50–3.75% policy stance have tempered buyer affordability yet supported prices through limited supply. The closely contested 45.6% and 35.9% probabilities on the $663K–$689K and $636K–$663K buckets reflect trader focus on whether seasonal late-summer inventory gains or sustained appreciation will push the September 30 reading higher within this band, consistent with observed momentum in sale-to-list ratios and per-square-foot trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$663K - $689K 45.6%
$636K - $663K 35.3%
$609K - $636K 6.1%
$555K - $582K 2.9%
$64,818 交易量
$64,818 交易量
低于$555K
11%
$555K - $582K
3%
$582K - $609K
1%
$609K - $636K
8%
$636K - $663K
35%
$663K - $689K
46%
$689K以上
1%
$663K - $689K 45.6%
$636K - $663K 35.3%
$609K - $636K 6.1%
$555K - $582K 2.9%
$64,818 交易量
$64,818 交易量
低于$555K
11%
$555K - $582K
3%
$582K - $609K
1%
$609K - $636K
8%
$636K - $663K
35%
$663K - $689K
46%
$689K以上
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
市场开放时间: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Recent data through July 2026 show New York City median sale prices and home values rising 3.9–6.2% year-over-year, with Zillow Home Value Index levels near $833,000 and listing medians around $689,000 amid tightening inventory and resilient demand. Elevated 30-year jumbo mortgage rates near 6.7% and the Federal Reserve’s steady 3.50–3.75% policy stance have tempered buyer affordability yet supported prices through limited supply. The closely contested 45.6% and 35.9% probabilities on the $663K–$689K and $636K–$663K buckets reflect trader focus on whether seasonal late-summer inventory gains or sustained appreciation will push the September 30 reading higher within this band, consistent with observed momentum in sale-to-list ratios and per-square-foot trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题