Trump's Vice President and Cabinet hold the decisive authority under Section 4 of the 25th Amendment, and current alignment with the president creates a high procedural barrier to any removal declaration before the end of 2026. Loyal appointees and Republican congressional majorities have shown no inclination to initiate the process despite earlier partisan calls tied to foreign policy disputes. Trader consensus at 97% on the negative reflects these institutional realities and the absence of verified incapacity signals in recent months. Even so, an unforeseen acute health event or abrupt Cabinet-level fracture could still reopen the possibility within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
3% 概率
$49,110 交易量
$49,110 交易量
2026-12-31
是
3% 概率
$49,110 交易量
$49,110 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Trump's Vice President and Cabinet hold the decisive authority under Section 4 of the 25th Amendment, and current alignment with the president creates a high procedural barrier to any removal declaration before the end of 2026. Loyal appointees and Republican congressional majorities have shown no inclination to initiate the process despite earlier partisan calls tied to foreign policy disputes. Trader consensus at 97% on the negative reflects these institutional realities and the absence of verified incapacity signals in recent months. Even so, an unforeseen acute health event or abrupt Cabinet-level fracture could still reopen the possibility within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$49,110结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Trump's Vice President and Cabinet hold the decisive authority under Section 4 of the 25th Amendment, and current alignment with the president creates a high procedural barrier to any removal declaration before the end of 2026. Loyal appointees and Republican congressional majorities have shown no inclination to initiate the process despite earlier partisan calls tied to foreign policy disputes. Trader consensus at 97% on the negative reflects these institutional realities and the absence of verified incapacity signals in recent months. Even so, an unforeseen acute health event or abrupt Cabinet-level fracture could still reopen the possibility within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
交易量
$49,110结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's Vice President and Cabinet hold the decisive authority under Section 4 of the 25th Amendment, and current alignment with the president creates a high procedural barrier to any removal declaration before the end of 2026. Loyal appointees and Republican congressional majorities have shown no inclination to initiate the process despite earlier partisan calls tied to foreign policy disputes. Trader consensus at 97% on the negative reflects these institutional realities and the absence of verified incapacity signals in recent months. Even so, an unforeseen acute health event or abrupt Cabinet-level fracture could still reopen the possibility within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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