President Trump has repeatedly previewed claims of foreign interference in prior U.S. elections and used them to justify greater federal oversight ahead of the 2026 midterms, including through stalled legislation such as the SAVE America Act. In a July 16 primetime address and an early August interview, he declined to rule out declaring a national security emergency to address election processes if Congress does not act, though no such declaration has occurred. Previous executive orders on voter verification and related measures have faced court challenges, consistent with constitutional allocation of election administration primarily to the states. Traders price the probability near 22 percent by year-end, reflecting the absence of an imminent trigger, institutional and legal constraints, and the narrow window remaining before December 31, 2026, while noting that public statements and advisor advocacy keep the option under active discussion.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$185,540 交易量
2026-12-30
12月31日
22%
$185,540 交易量
12月31日
$182,786 交易量
22%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump has repeatedly previewed claims of foreign interference in prior U.S. elections and used them to justify greater federal oversight ahead of the 2026 midterms, including through stalled legislation such as the SAVE America Act. In a July 16 primetime address and an early August interview, he declined to rule out declaring a national security emergency to address election processes if Congress does not act, though no such declaration has occurred. Previous executive orders on voter verification and related measures have faced court challenges, consistent with constitutional allocation of election administration primarily to the states. Traders price the probability near 22 percent by year-end, reflecting the absence of an imminent trigger, institutional and legal constraints, and the narrow window remaining before December 31, 2026, while noting that public statements and advisor advocacy keep the option under active discussion.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 26, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
交易量
$185,540结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump has repeatedly previewed claims of foreign interference in prior U.S. elections and used them to justify greater federal oversight ahead of the 2026 midterms, including through stalled legislation such as the SAVE America Act. In a July 16 primetime address and an early August interview, he declined to rule out declaring a national security emergency to address election processes if Congress does not act, though no such declaration has occurred. Previous executive orders on voter verification and related measures have faced court challenges, consistent with constitutional allocation of election administration primarily to the states. Traders price the probability near 22 percent by year-end, reflecting the absence of an imminent trigger, institutional and legal constraints, and the narrow window remaining before December 31, 2026, while noting that public statements and advisor advocacy keep the option under active discussion.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$185,540结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump has repeatedly previewed claims of foreign interference in prior U.S. elections and used them to justify greater federal oversight ahead of the 2026 midterms, including through stalled legislation such as the SAVE America Act. In a July 16 primetime address and an early August interview, he declined to rule out declaring a national security emergency to address election processes if Congress does not act, though no such declaration has occurred. Previous executive orders on voter verification and related measures have faced court challenges, consistent with constitutional allocation of election administration primarily to the states. Traders price the probability near 22 percent by year-end, reflecting the absence of an imminent trigger, institutional and legal constraints, and the narrow window remaining before December 31, 2026, while noting that public statements and advisor advocacy keep the option under active discussion.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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