Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has posted stronger-than-expected holds through its first four weekends, dropping 30% then 43% and 38% while still banking roughly $31.7 million in its most recent frame and pushing domestic totals past $461 million. This momentum, fueled by premium-format appeal, positive word-of-mouth, and Nolan’s brand loyalty, creates the core uncertainty for the fifth weekend: a 35-45% drop would land squarely in the 17-21 million range where market-implied odds cluster tightly between 40.5% and 44%. Theater count reductions from 3,919 to 3,603 screens, potential new competition, and the film’s already lengthy runtime introduce downside risk, yet its current legs exceed typical blockbusters of similar scale. Traders are therefore pricing in a narrow band rather than committing to a breakout or sharp falloff ahead of the August 14-16 frame.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于《奥德赛》第五周末票房
1900万-2100万 46%
1700万-1900万 43%
2100万+ 43%
小于1700万 41%
小于1700万
41%
1700万-1900万
43%
1900万-2100万
46%
2100万+
43%
1900万-2100万 46%
1700万-1900万 43%
2100万+ 43%
小于1700万 41%
小于1700万
41%
1700万-1900万
43%
1900万-2100万
46%
2100万+
43%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间: Aug 12, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has posted stronger-than-expected holds through its first four weekends, dropping 30% then 43% and 38% while still banking roughly $31.7 million in its most recent frame and pushing domestic totals past $461 million. This momentum, fueled by premium-format appeal, positive word-of-mouth, and Nolan’s brand loyalty, creates the core uncertainty for the fifth weekend: a 35-45% drop would land squarely in the 17-21 million range where market-implied odds cluster tightly between 40.5% and 44%. Theater count reductions from 3,919 to 3,603 screens, potential new competition, and the film’s already lengthy runtime introduce downside risk, yet its current legs exceed typical blockbusters of similar scale. Traders are therefore pricing in a narrow band rather than committing to a breakout or sharp falloff ahead of the August 14-16 frame.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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