Strong pre-release tracking for the July 31 theatrical debut, with forecasts ranging from $180M–$250M domestic opening weekend, has fueled tight trader consensus across total gross bands by August 31. Multiple ranges from under $400M to $900M+ sit within 1% of each other because the film’s legs after its initial surge remain untested amid summer competition and variable audience retention for recent MCU entries. Historical Spider-Man performance, franchise brand strength, and early presale momentum support the even distribution, while the proximity to release leaves room for quick shifts once opening numbers and second-weekend holds clarify the trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于《蜘蛛侠:崭新的一天》8月31日国内总收入?
7亿 - 8亿美元 48%
8亿 - 9亿美元 26%
6亿 - 7亿美元 18%
9亿美元以上 10%
低于4亿
1%
4亿 - 5亿美元
1%
5亿 - 6亿美元
5%
6亿 - 7亿美元
18%
7亿 - 8亿美元
48%
8亿 - 9亿美元
26%
9亿美元以上
10%
7亿 - 8亿美元 48%
8亿 - 9亿美元 26%
6亿 - 7亿美元 18%
9亿美元以上 10%
低于4亿
1%
4亿 - 5亿美元
1%
5亿 - 6亿美元
5%
6亿 - 7亿美元
18%
7亿 - 8亿美元
48%
8亿 - 9亿美元
26%
9亿美元以上
10%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong pre-release tracking for the July 31 theatrical debut, with forecasts ranging from $180M–$250M domestic opening weekend, has fueled tight trader consensus across total gross bands by August 31. Multiple ranges from under $400M to $900M+ sit within 1% of each other because the film’s legs after its initial surge remain untested amid summer competition and variable audience retention for recent MCU entries. Historical Spider-Man performance, franchise brand strength, and early presale momentum support the even distribution, while the proximity to release leaves room for quick shifts once opening numbers and second-weekend holds clarify the trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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