Disney’s live-action Moana opened to a soft $43 million domestically in mid-July, well below pre-release tracking of $60–85 million, and followed with an estimated $18 million in its second frame amid a steep 58% drop. Traders see this rapid erosion—driven by mixed audience reception and a $250 million budget—as signaling further sharp declines for the third weekend, with comparable titles and summer competition likely accelerating the fade. Historical patterns for underperforming Disney remakes and current legs near 2.1 reinforce expectations of limited holdover, though strong family appeal or positive word-of-mouth could moderate the drop and shift the market-implied ranges. Upcoming chart updates and any mid-week adjustments will serve as key swing factors in the tightly contested buckets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于“Moana (2026)”第三周末票房
“Moana (2026)”第三周末票房
<800万 43%
800万-900万 43%
900万-1000万 43%
1000万-1100万 43%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
<800万
43%
800万-900万
43%
900万-1000万
43%
1000万-1100万
43%
1100万-1200万
43%
1200万-1300万
43%
1300万美元+
43%
<800万 43%
800万-900万 43%
900万-1000万 43%
1000万-1100万 43%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
<800万
$0 交易量
43%
800万-900万
$0 交易量
43%
900万-1000万
$0 交易量
43%
1000万-1100万
$0 交易量
43%
1100万-1200万
$0 交易量
43%
1200万-1300万
$0 交易量
43%
1300万美元+
$0 交易量
43%
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana (2026)" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 24 - July 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Disney’s live-action Moana opened to a soft $43 million domestically in mid-July, well below pre-release tracking of $60–85 million, and followed with an estimated $18 million in its second frame amid a steep 58% drop. Traders see this rapid erosion—driven by mixed audience reception and a $250 million budget—as signaling further sharp declines for the third weekend, with comparable titles and summer competition likely accelerating the fade. Historical patterns for underperforming Disney remakes and current legs near 2.1 reinforce expectations of limited holdover, though strong family appeal or positive word-of-mouth could moderate the drop and shift the market-implied ranges. Upcoming chart updates and any mid-week adjustments will serve as key swing factors in the tightly contested buckets.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana (2026)" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 24 - July 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2026, 8:31 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-07-26市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 8:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Moana (2026)" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 24 - July 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Disney’s live-action Moana opened to a soft $43 million domestically in mid-July, well below pre-release tracking of $60–85 million, and followed with an estimated $18 million in its second frame amid a steep 58% drop. Traders see this rapid erosion—driven by mixed audience reception and a $250 million budget—as signaling further sharp declines for the third weekend, with comparable titles and summer competition likely accelerating the fade. Historical patterns for underperforming Disney remakes and current legs near 2.1 reinforce expectations of limited holdover, though strong family appeal or positive word-of-mouth could moderate the drop and shift the market-implied ranges. Upcoming chart updates and any mid-week adjustments will serve as key swing factors in the tightly contested buckets.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana (2026)" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 24 - July 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-07-26市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 8:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Disney’s live-action Moana opened to a soft $43 million domestically in mid-July, well below pre-release tracking of $60–85 million, and followed with an estimated $18 million in its second frame amid a steep 58% drop. Traders see this rapid erosion—driven by mixed audience reception and a $250 million budget—as signaling further sharp declines for the third weekend, with comparable titles and summer competition likely accelerating the fade. Historical patterns for underperforming Disney remakes and current legs near 2.1 reinforce expectations of limited holdover, though strong family appeal or positive word-of-mouth could moderate the drop and shift the market-implied ranges. Upcoming chart updates and any mid-week adjustments will serve as key swing factors in the tightly contested buckets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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