Strong opening and second-weekend performance for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*—including a record $360 million domestic debut and $145 million follow-up—have established exceptional early momentum, yet typical superhero drop patterns of 50-60% point to a third-weekend gross in the $57-72 million range. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring sub-$66 million outcomes, as the film faces new competition from titles like *The End of Oak Street* and *PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie* while sustaining its run amid already massive global totals exceeding $1.67 billion. Pre-release tracking and early legs data further support expectations of a sharp but not catastrophic decline, with traders pricing in limited upside beyond $70 million given historical precedents for similar tentpoles. The upcoming weekend results will clarify whether audience retention exceeds or falls short of these benchmarks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于《蜘蛛侠：崭新一天》第三周末票房（低价罢工）
《蜘蛛侠：崭新一天》第三周末票房（低价罢工）
66-68m 42%
68-70m 42%
70-72m 41%
<66m 38%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
<66m
38%
66-68m
42%
68-70m
42%
70-72m
41%
7200万+
3%
66-68m 42%
68-70m 42%
70-72m 41%
<66m 38%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
<66m
$0 交易量
38%
66-68m
$0 交易量
42%
68-70m
$0 交易量
42%
70-72m
$0 交易量
41%
7200万+
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong opening and second-weekend performance for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*—including a record $360 million domestic debut and $145 million follow-up—have established exceptional early momentum, yet typical superhero drop patterns of 50-60% point to a third-weekend gross in the $57-72 million range. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring sub-$66 million outcomes, as the film faces new competition from titles like *The End of Oak Street* and *PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie* while sustaining its run amid already massive global totals exceeding $1.67 billion. Pre-release tracking and early legs data further support expectations of a sharp but not catastrophic decline, with traders pricing in limited upside beyond $70 million given historical precedents for similar tentpoles. The upcoming weekend results will clarify whether audience retention exceeds or falls short of these benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong opening and second-weekend performance for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*—including a record $360 million domestic debut and $145 million follow-up—have established exceptional early momentum, yet typical superhero drop patterns of 50-60% point to a third-weekend gross in the $57-72 million range. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring sub-$66 million outcomes, as the film faces new competition from titles like *The End of Oak Street* and *PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie* while sustaining its run amid already massive global totals exceeding $1.67 billion. Pre-release tracking and early legs data further support expectations of a sharp but not catastrophic decline, with traders pricing in limited upside beyond $70 million given historical precedents for similar tentpoles. The upcoming weekend results will clarify whether audience retention exceeds or falls short of these benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong opening and second-weekend performance for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*—including a record $360 million domestic debut and $145 million follow-up—have established exceptional early momentum, yet typical superhero drop patterns of 50-60% point to a third-weekend gross in the $57-72 million range. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring sub-$66 million outcomes, as the film faces new competition from titles like *The End of Oak Street* and *PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie* while sustaining its run amid already massive global totals exceeding $1.67 billion. Pre-release tracking and early legs data further support expectations of a sharp but not catastrophic decline, with traders pricing in limited upside beyond $70 million given historical precedents for similar tentpoles. The upcoming weekend results will clarify whether audience retention exceeds or falls short of these benchmarks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题