**Consistent numerical weather prediction outputs and real-time observations from multiple models point to a minimum air temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on September 7, 2026.** Forecasts from sources aligned with the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show overnight lows stabilizing near this value under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, with dew points supporting limited radiational cooling. This aligns with the recent trend of above-average September minima and the absence of stronger synoptic cooling. Market-implied odds reflect high trader confidence in the consensus forecast, as official station readings and model agreement leave little room for deviation. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clear-sky episode producing extra surface cooling or a localized measurement discrepancy at the resolving station, though current guidance assigns low probability to such outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日上海最低气温？
9月7日上海最低气温？
24°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$10,924 交易量
$10,924 交易量
2026-09-07
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
24°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$10,924 交易量
$10,924 交易量
2026-09-07
19°C或以下
$155 交易量
<1%
20°C
$155 交易量
<1%
21°C
$130 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,133 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,848 交易量
<1%
24°C
$4,362 交易量
100%
25°C
$1,442 交易量
<1%
26°C
$429 交易量
<1%
27°C
$130 交易量
<1%
28°C
$125 交易量
<1%
29°C或更高
$165 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consistent numerical weather prediction outputs and real-time observations from multiple models point to a minimum air temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on September 7, 2026.**
Forecasts from sources aligned with the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show overnight lows stabilizing near this value under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, with dew points supporting limited radiational cooling. This aligns with the recent trend of above-average September minima and the absence of stronger synoptic cooling. Market-implied odds reflect high trader confidence in the consensus forecast, as official station readings and model agreement leave little room for deviation.
A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clear-sky episode producing extra surface cooling or a localized measurement discrepancy at the resolving station, though current guidance assigns low probability to such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$10,924结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consistent numerical weather prediction outputs and real-time observations from multiple models point to a minimum air temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on September 7, 2026.**
Forecasts from sources aligned with the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show overnight lows stabilizing near this value under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, with dew points supporting limited radiational cooling. This aligns with the recent trend of above-average September minima and the absence of stronger synoptic cooling. Market-implied odds reflect high trader confidence in the consensus forecast, as official station readings and model agreement leave little room for deviation.
A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clear-sky episode producing extra surface cooling or a localized measurement discrepancy at the resolving station, though current guidance assigns low probability to such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,924结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Consistent numerical weather prediction outputs and real-time observations from multiple models point to a minimum air temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on September 7, 2026.** Forecasts from sources aligned with the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show overnight lows stabilizing near this value under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, with dew points supporting limited radiational cooling. This aligns with the recent trend of above-average September minima and the absence of stronger synoptic cooling. Market-implied odds reflect high trader confidence in the consensus forecast, as official station readings and model agreement leave little room for deviation. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clear-sky episode producing extra surface cooling or a localized measurement discrepancy at the resolving station, though current guidance assigns low probability to such outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题