Persistent southerly flow and high pressure across central Texas are sustaining above-normal heat, with National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport calling for a high near 99°F on September 9 under mostly sunny skies. Multiple model runs and point forecasts cluster between 97–100°F, consistent with the market’s leading bins at 98–99°F (40.5%) and 100–101°F (24.0%). Dew points in the low 70s will support strong afternoon heating once morning clouds dissipate, while light winds limit mixing that could otherwise cap temperatures. Historical September 9 averages near 93°F underscore the current anomaly, yet no strong cold front or widespread convection is expected to disrupt the pattern before the daily maximum is reached. Updated NWS guidance and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind timing remain the primary near-term variables that could nudge the realized high within or just outside the current 98–101°F range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日奥斯汀的最高温度?
98-99°F 50%
96-97°F 40%
100-101°F 20%
102-103华氏度 20%
87°F或以下
4%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
8%
92-93华氏度
7%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
40%
98-99°F
36%
100-101°F
24%
102-103华氏度
20%
104-105°F
17%
106°F或更高
10%
98-99°F 50%
96-97°F 40%
100-101°F 20%
102-103华氏度 20%
87°F或以下
4%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
8%
92-93华氏度
7%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
40%
98-99°F
36%
100-101°F
24%
102-103华氏度
20%
104-105°F
17%
106°F或更高
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent southerly flow and high pressure across central Texas are sustaining above-normal heat, with National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport calling for a high near 99°F on September 9 under mostly sunny skies. Multiple model runs and point forecasts cluster between 97–100°F, consistent with the market’s leading bins at 98–99°F (40.5%) and 100–101°F (24.0%). Dew points in the low 70s will support strong afternoon heating once morning clouds dissipate, while light winds limit mixing that could otherwise cap temperatures. Historical September 9 averages near 93°F underscore the current anomaly, yet no strong cold front or widespread convection is expected to disrupt the pattern before the daily maximum is reached. Updated NWS guidance and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind timing remain the primary near-term variables that could nudge the realized high within or just outside the current 98–101°F range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题