Trader consensus for the lowest temperature in Karachi on September 12 shows near-even implied probabilities between 31°C or higher and 21°C or below, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range forecast models. Primary drivers include variable monsoon moisture from the Arabian Sea, which can suppress nocturnal radiative cooling through increased cloud cover or enhance it under clearer skies, alongside local wind patterns and urban heat island effects. Historical September minima in the region typically range 24–28°C, but recent model runs diverge on potential for enhanced convection or high-pressure influence. New guidance from global and regional ensembles, along with official observations from the Pakistan Meteorological Department, will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日卡拉奇的最低温度？
9月12日卡拉奇的最低温度？
31°C或更高 96%
21°C或以下 94%
25°C 40%
22°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
21°C或以下
94%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
21%
25°C
40%
26°C
22%
27°C
21%
28°C
39%
29°C
8%
30°C
39%
31°C或更高
96%
31°C或更高 96%
21°C或以下 94%
25°C 40%
22°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
94%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23°C
$0 交易量
39%
24°C
$0 交易量
21%
25°C
$0 交易量
40%
26°C
$0 交易量
22%
27°C
$0 交易量
21%
28°C
$0 交易量
39%
29°C
$0 交易量
8%
30°C
$0 交易量
39%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for the lowest temperature in Karachi on September 12 shows near-even implied probabilities between 31°C or higher and 21°C or below, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range forecast models. Primary drivers include variable monsoon moisture from the Arabian Sea, which can suppress nocturnal radiative cooling through increased cloud cover or enhance it under clearer skies, alongside local wind patterns and urban heat island effects. Historical September minima in the region typically range 24–28°C, but recent model runs diverge on potential for enhanced convection or high-pressure influence. New guidance from global and regional ensembles, along with official observations from the Pakistan Meteorological Department, will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for the lowest temperature in Karachi on September 12 shows near-even implied probabilities between 31°C or higher and 21°C or below, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range forecast models. Primary drivers include variable monsoon moisture from the Arabian Sea, which can suppress nocturnal radiative cooling through increased cloud cover or enhance it under clearer skies, alongside local wind patterns and urban heat island effects. Historical September minima in the region typically range 24–28°C, but recent model runs diverge on potential for enhanced convection or high-pressure influence. New guidance from global and regional ensembles, along with official observations from the Pakistan Meteorological Department, will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETTrader consensus for the lowest temperature in Karachi on September 12 shows near-even implied probabilities between 31°C or higher and 21°C or below, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range forecast models. Primary drivers include variable monsoon moisture from the Arabian Sea, which can suppress nocturnal radiative cooling through increased cloud cover or enhance it under clearer skies, alongside local wind patterns and urban heat island effects. Historical September minima in the region typically range 24–28°C, but recent model runs diverge on potential for enhanced convection or high-pressure influence. New guidance from global and regional ensembles, along with official observations from the Pakistan Meteorological Department, will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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