**Current National Weather Service and private forecasts for Houston on September 11, 2026, project an overnight low near 79°F under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms and southerly flow.** This setup favors 76-77°F as the leading market outcome at 48% implied probability, as high humidity (often 70-90%) and limited radiative cooling overnight typically keep minima in the upper 70s rather than allowing deeper drops. Persistent warm advection from the Gulf and the absence of a strong frontal passage or clear, dry conditions explain why probabilities cluster around 76-81°F while assigning only modest weight to extremes below 70°F or above 88°F. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 74°F, but the current pattern reflects warmer-than-normal early-month conditions with heat indices exceeding 100°F during the day. Updated model runs and any overnight observations will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日休斯顿的最低温度?
69华氏度或以下 49%
88华氏度或更高 49%
76-77°F 48%
82-83°F 39%
69华氏度或以下
49%
70-71°F
38%
72-73华氏度
18%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
48%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88华氏度或更高
49%
69华氏度或以下 49%
88华氏度或更高 49%
76-77°F 48%
82-83°F 39%
69华氏度或以下
49%
70-71°F
38%
72-73华氏度
18%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
48%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88华氏度或更高
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current National Weather Service and private forecasts for Houston on September 11, 2026, project an overnight low near 79°F under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms and southerly flow.** This setup favors 76-77°F as the leading market outcome at 48% implied probability, as high humidity (often 70-90%) and limited radiative cooling overnight typically keep minima in the upper 70s rather than allowing deeper drops. Persistent warm advection from the Gulf and the absence of a strong frontal passage or clear, dry conditions explain why probabilities cluster around 76-81°F while assigning only modest weight to extremes below 70°F or above 88°F. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 74°F, but the current pattern reflects warmer-than-normal early-month conditions with heat indices exceeding 100°F during the day. Updated model runs and any overnight observations will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题