Recent heavy rainfall across Hong Kong, already exceeding typical July totals with frequent thunderstorms, has increased cloud cover and humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures clustered near 24–26°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high dew points near 26°C and light winds, further constrain cooling rates according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures align with climatological July lows around 26–27°C, while modest model spread from possible weak disturbances or clearer breaks introduces the 1–2°C uncertainty reflected in the tight 24–26°C market probabilities. Updated official forecasts through July 26 will refine these near-term drivers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月26日香港最低气温？
7月26日香港最低气温？
25°C 39%
26°C 34%
27°C 18%
24°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
6%
23°C
2%
24°C
13%
25°C
39%
26°C
34%
27°C
18%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C或以上
<1%
25°C 39%
26°C 34%
27°C 18%
24°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
21°C或以下
$193 交易量
<1%
22°C
$32 交易量
6%
23°C
$133 交易量
2%
24°C
$248 交易量
13%
25°C
$324 交易量
39%
26°C
$160 交易量
34%
27°C
$63 交易量
18%
28°C
$63 交易量
3%
29°C
$271 交易量
4%
30°C
$95 交易量
1%
31°C或以上
$95 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent heavy rainfall across Hong Kong, already exceeding typical July totals with frequent thunderstorms, has increased cloud cover and humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures clustered near 24–26°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high dew points near 26°C and light winds, further constrain cooling rates according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures align with climatological July lows around 26–27°C, while modest model spread from possible weak disturbances or clearer breaks introduces the 1–2°C uncertainty reflected in the tight 24–26°C market probabilities. Updated official forecasts through July 26 will refine these near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,676结束日期
2026-07-26市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent heavy rainfall across Hong Kong, already exceeding typical July totals with frequent thunderstorms, has increased cloud cover and humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures clustered near 24–26°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high dew points near 26°C and light winds, further constrain cooling rates according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures align with climatological July lows around 26–27°C, while modest model spread from possible weak disturbances or clearer breaks introduces the 1–2°C uncertainty reflected in the tight 24–26°C market probabilities. Updated official forecasts through July 26 will refine these near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,676结束日期
2026-07-26市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall across Hong Kong, already exceeding typical July totals with frequent thunderstorms, has increased cloud cover and humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures clustered near 24–26°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high dew points near 26°C and light winds, further constrain cooling rates according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures align with climatological July lows around 26–27°C, while modest model spread from possible weak disturbances or clearer breaks introduces the 1–2°C uncertainty reflected in the tight 24–26°C market probabilities. Updated official forecasts through July 26 will refine these near-term drivers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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