Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Beijing's July 26 peak temperature most likely falling between 31–33°C, reflecting tight clustering around these outcomes amid modest forecast spread. Subtropical high pressure and lingering East Asian summer monsoon influences are sustaining warm, humid conditions, while variable convective cloud cover and possible early thunderstorms could limit daytime heating or enhance it through subsidence. Urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing add local uncertainty, with slight model disagreements on precipitation timing keeping 32°C narrowly ahead. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月26日北京气温最高？
7月26日北京气温最高？
33°C 28%
34°C 28%
32°C 22%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
12%
32°C
22%
33°C
28%
34°C
28%
35°C
9%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 28%
34°C 28%
32°C 22%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
26°C or below
$351 交易量
<1%
27°C
$119 交易量
<1%
28°C
$36 交易量
<1%
29°C
$411 交易量
3%
30°C
$153 交易量
7%
31°C
$107 交易量
12%
32°C
$128 交易量
22%
33°C
$145 交易量
28%
34°C
$527 交易量
28%
35°C
$96 交易量
9%
36°C or higher
$41 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Beijing's July 26 peak temperature most likely falling between 31–33°C, reflecting tight clustering around these outcomes amid modest forecast spread. Subtropical high pressure and lingering East Asian summer monsoon influences are sustaining warm, humid conditions, while variable convective cloud cover and possible early thunderstorms could limit daytime heating or enhance it through subsidence. Urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing add local uncertainty, with slight model disagreements on precipitation timing keeping 32°C narrowly ahead. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,115结束日期
2026-07-26市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Beijing's July 26 peak temperature most likely falling between 31–33°C, reflecting tight clustering around these outcomes amid modest forecast spread. Subtropical high pressure and lingering East Asian summer monsoon influences are sustaining warm, humid conditions, while variable convective cloud cover and possible early thunderstorms could limit daytime heating or enhance it through subsidence. Urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing add local uncertainty, with slight model disagreements on precipitation timing keeping 32°C narrowly ahead. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,115结束日期
2026-07-26市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from global models show Beijing's July 26 peak temperature most likely falling between 31–33°C, reflecting tight clustering around these outcomes amid modest forecast spread. Subtropical high pressure and lingering East Asian summer monsoon influences are sustaining warm, humid conditions, while variable convective cloud cover and possible early thunderstorms could limit daytime heating or enhance it through subsidence. Urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing add local uncertainty, with slight model disagreements on precipitation timing keeping 32°C narrowly ahead. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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