Recent forecasts indicate post-frontal clearing over the Western Cape after a cold front passage earlier in the week, supporting trader consensus around 21–23 °C highs for Cape Town on July 26. Subtropical high pressure building eastward promotes offshore flow that reduces marine-layer cooling from the Benguela Current while allowing modest daytime insolation; however, residual cloud cover and wind speed variations among model runs create the narrow spread between 21 °C and 23 °C outcomes. Historical July maxima near 18–20 °C provide context, yet current guidance shows slightly above-average warmth under clearing skies. Updated NWP runs and South African Weather Service bulletins through Friday will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月26日开普敦气温最高?
22°C 31%
21°C 28%
20°C 19%
23°C 15%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
7%
20°C
19%
21°C
28%
22°C
31%
23°C
15%
24°C或更高
5%
22°C 31%
21°C 28%
20°C 19%
23°C 15%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
7%
20°C
19%
21°C
28%
22°C
31%
23°C
15%
24°C或更高
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts indicate post-frontal clearing over the Western Cape after a cold front passage earlier in the week, supporting trader consensus around 21–23 °C highs for Cape Town on July 26. Subtropical high pressure building eastward promotes offshore flow that reduces marine-layer cooling from the Benguela Current while allowing modest daytime insolation; however, residual cloud cover and wind speed variations among model runs create the narrow spread between 21 °C and 23 °C outcomes. Historical July maxima near 18–20 °C provide context, yet current guidance shows slightly above-average warmth under clearing skies. Updated NWP runs and South African Weather Service bulletins through Friday will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题