Recent northerly winds and associated cold advection from a passing weather system are driving cooler conditions across the Sichuan Basin, with consensus forecasts pointing to a September 10 minimum near 18–19°C amid widespread cloud cover and periods of rain. Persistent precipitation and high humidity are expected to suppress daytime heating while limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping the diurnal range narrow. Historical September lows in Chengdu average 18–19°C, providing context for current model guidance that shows modest spread around these values. Traders appear to weigh the balance between further cooling from sustained northerlies versus any temporary warming if skies clear earlier than projected, with fresh observational data and updated runs from regional meteorological centers likely to influence positioning ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日成都最低气温？
9月10日成都最低气温？
14°C或以下 91%
24°C或更高 81%
23°C 39%
19°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
14°C或以下
91%
15°C
20%
16°C
21%
17°C
22%
18°C
24%
19°C
29%
20°C
25%
21°C
21%
22°C
11%
23°C
39%
24°C或更高
81%
14°C或以下 91%
24°C或更高 81%
23°C 39%
19°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
14°C或以下
$30 交易量
91%
15°C
$0 交易量
20%
16°C
$0 交易量
21%
17°C
$0 交易量
22%
18°C
$0 交易量
24%
19°C
$0 交易量
29%
20°C
$0 交易量
25%
21°C
$0 交易量
21%
22°C
$0 交易量
11%
23°C
$60 交易量
39%
24°C或更高
$25 交易量
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds and associated cold advection from a passing weather system are driving cooler conditions across the Sichuan Basin, with consensus forecasts pointing to a September 10 minimum near 18–19°C amid widespread cloud cover and periods of rain. Persistent precipitation and high humidity are expected to suppress daytime heating while limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping the diurnal range narrow. Historical September lows in Chengdu average 18–19°C, providing context for current model guidance that shows modest spread around these values. Traders appear to weigh the balance between further cooling from sustained northerlies versus any temporary warming if skies clear earlier than projected, with fresh observational data and updated runs from regional meteorological centers likely to influence positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$115结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds and associated cold advection from a passing weather system are driving cooler conditions across the Sichuan Basin, with consensus forecasts pointing to a September 10 minimum near 18–19°C amid widespread cloud cover and periods of rain. Persistent precipitation and high humidity are expected to suppress daytime heating while limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping the diurnal range narrow. Historical September lows in Chengdu average 18–19°C, providing context for current model guidance that shows modest spread around these values. Traders appear to weigh the balance between further cooling from sustained northerlies versus any temporary warming if skies clear earlier than projected, with fresh observational data and updated runs from regional meteorological centers likely to influence positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$115结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent northerly winds and associated cold advection from a passing weather system are driving cooler conditions across the Sichuan Basin, with consensus forecasts pointing to a September 10 minimum near 18–19°C amid widespread cloud cover and periods of rain. Persistent precipitation and high humidity are expected to suppress daytime heating while limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping the diurnal range narrow. Historical September lows in Chengdu average 18–19°C, providing context for current model guidance that shows modest spread around these values. Traders appear to weigh the balance between further cooling from sustained northerlies versus any temporary warming if skies clear earlier than projected, with fresh observational data and updated runs from regional meteorological centers likely to influence positioning ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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