**With Sanae Takaichi’s Liberal Democratic Party securing a postwar-record supermajority in the February 8, 2026 snap election, traders assign only a 5.5% chance of another lower-house dissolution before year-end.** The January 23 dissolution and February vote gave the LDP-Komeito-Ishin coalition 352 of 465 seats, delivering a stable mandate that removes the usual political trigger for an early poll. No major scandals, coalition fractures, or fiscal deadlines have emerged since the election to pressure Takaichi into another dissolution. Regular sessions through the remainder of 2026 are proceeding under the new majority, and the next scheduled general election lies well beyond 2026. Absent an unforeseen crisis that would force the prime minister to seek a fresh mandate, the current Diet is expected to serve its full term.