The newly formed Jetten minority cabinet, installed in February 2026 by D66, VVD, and CDA after the October 2025 snap elections, holds only 66 of 150 seats in the Tweede Kamer yet faces no immediate no-confidence motion or workable opposition alternative that could force dissolution. Normal parliamentary terms extend into 2029–2030, and recent reporting shows limited appetite among parties for another contest before year-end. The principal near-term risk remains the fall 2026 budget process, but current trader pricing at 92.5% for “No” reflects the absence of any verified parliamentary crisis or royal decree signaling early elections within the 2026 resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
8% 概率
$15,354 交易量
$15,354 交易量
2026-12-31
是
8% 概率
$15,354 交易量
$15,354 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The newly formed Jetten minority cabinet, installed in February 2026 by D66, VVD, and CDA after the October 2025 snap elections, holds only 66 of 150 seats in the Tweede Kamer yet faces no immediate no-confidence motion or workable opposition alternative that could force dissolution. Normal parliamentary terms extend into 2029–2030, and recent reporting shows limited appetite among parties for another contest before year-end. The principal near-term risk remains the fall 2026 budget process, but current trader pricing at 92.5% for “No” reflects the absence of any verified parliamentary crisis or royal decree signaling early elections within the 2026 resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
交易量
$15,354结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The newly formed Jetten minority cabinet, installed in February 2026 by D66, VVD, and CDA after the October 2025 snap elections, holds only 66 of 150 seats in the Tweede Kamer yet faces no immediate no-confidence motion or workable opposition alternative that could force dissolution. Normal parliamentary terms extend into 2029–2030, and recent reporting shows limited appetite among parties for another contest before year-end. The principal near-term risk remains the fall 2026 budget process, but current trader pricing at 92.5% for “No” reflects the absence of any verified parliamentary crisis or royal decree signaling early elections within the 2026 resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$15,354结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The newly formed Jetten minority cabinet, installed in February 2026 by D66, VVD, and CDA after the October 2025 snap elections, holds only 66 of 150 seats in the Tweede Kamer yet faces no immediate no-confidence motion or workable opposition alternative that could force dissolution. Normal parliamentary terms extend into 2029–2030, and recent reporting shows limited appetite among parties for another contest before year-end. The principal near-term risk remains the fall 2026 budget process, but current trader pricing at 92.5% for “No” reflects the absence of any verified parliamentary crisis or royal decree signaling early elections within the 2026 resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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