Current ensemble forecasts for Warsaw on July 26 show maximum temperatures clustered around 29–31°C, with model consensus split between partly cloudy conditions allowing strong daytime heating and scattered showers that could cap peaks near 29°C. Primary drivers include warm southerly advection at 850 hPa, variable cloud cover from a weak frontal boundary, and modest urban heat-island effects in the city center. Minor differences in predicted insolation timing and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight spread across 29–31°C outcomes, while longer-range runs indicate low risk of extremes outside this range. Updated model guidance from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月26日华沙的最高温度？
7月26日华沙的最高温度？
30°C 40%
31°C 28%
29°C 27%
28°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
27%
30°C
40%
31°C
28%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
31°C 28%
29°C 27%
28°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
25°C or below
$85 交易量
<1%
26°C
$131 交易量
1%
27°C
$98 交易量
2%
28°C
$67 交易量
5%
29°C
$226 交易量
27%
30°C
$120 交易量
40%
31°C
$252 交易量
28%
32°C
$105 交易量
4%
33°C
$94 交易量
1%
34°C
$172 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$93 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Warsaw on July 26 show maximum temperatures clustered around 29–31°C, with model consensus split between partly cloudy conditions allowing strong daytime heating and scattered showers that could cap peaks near 29°C. Primary drivers include warm southerly advection at 850 hPa, variable cloud cover from a weak frontal boundary, and modest urban heat-island effects in the city center. Minor differences in predicted insolation timing and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight spread across 29–31°C outcomes, while longer-range runs indicate low risk of extremes outside this range. Updated model guidance from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,442结束日期
2026-07-26市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Warsaw on July 26 show maximum temperatures clustered around 29–31°C, with model consensus split between partly cloudy conditions allowing strong daytime heating and scattered showers that could cap peaks near 29°C. Primary drivers include warm southerly advection at 850 hPa, variable cloud cover from a weak frontal boundary, and modest urban heat-island effects in the city center. Minor differences in predicted insolation timing and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight spread across 29–31°C outcomes, while longer-range runs indicate low risk of extremes outside this range. Updated model guidance from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,442结束日期
2026-07-26市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts for Warsaw on July 26 show maximum temperatures clustered around 29–31°C, with model consensus split between partly cloudy conditions allowing strong daytime heating and scattered showers that could cap peaks near 29°C. Primary drivers include warm southerly advection at 850 hPa, variable cloud cover from a weak frontal boundary, and modest urban heat-island effects in the city center. Minor differences in predicted insolation timing and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight spread across 29–31°C outcomes, while longer-range runs indicate low risk of extremes outside this range. Updated model guidance from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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