Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw's August 7 maximum near 25–26°C, with surface conditions featuring moderate northwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and weak high pressure maintaining mild advection of continental air. These factors create tight clustering around the 25°C and 26°C bins that dominate trader consensus, as small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon insolation can swing the peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the city centers near 23–26°C, providing context for why lower outcomes carry minimal implied probability while extremes above 28°C remain remote without a sudden warm-air intrusion. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine dew-point and wind forecasts ahead of market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月7日最高气温？
华沙8月7日最高气温？
25°C 41%
26°C 37%
27°C 13%
24°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
41%
26°C
37%
27°C
13%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 41%
26°C 37%
27°C 13%
24°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
22°C or below
$610 交易量
1%
23°C
$101 交易量
2%
24°C
$725 交易量
9%
25°C
$340 交易量
41%
26°C
$528 交易量
37%
27°C
$1,143 交易量
13%
28°C
$351 交易量
2%
29°C
$147 交易量
1%
30°C
$37 交易量
<1%
31°C
$80 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$457 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw's August 7 maximum near 25–26°C, with surface conditions featuring moderate northwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and weak high pressure maintaining mild advection of continental air. These factors create tight clustering around the 25°C and 26°C bins that dominate trader consensus, as small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon insolation can swing the peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the city centers near 23–26°C, providing context for why lower outcomes carry minimal implied probability while extremes above 28°C remain remote without a sudden warm-air intrusion. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine dew-point and wind forecasts ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$4,520结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw's August 7 maximum near 25–26°C, with surface conditions featuring moderate northwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and weak high pressure maintaining mild advection of continental air. These factors create tight clustering around the 25°C and 26°C bins that dominate trader consensus, as small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon insolation can swing the peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the city centers near 23–26°C, providing context for why lower outcomes carry minimal implied probability while extremes above 28°C remain remote without a sudden warm-air intrusion. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine dew-point and wind forecasts ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,520结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw's August 7 maximum near 25–26°C, with surface conditions featuring moderate northwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and weak high pressure maintaining mild advection of continental air. These factors create tight clustering around the 25°C and 26°C bins that dominate trader consensus, as small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon insolation can swing the peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the city centers near 23–26°C, providing context for why lower outcomes carry minimal implied probability while extremes above 28°C remain remote without a sudden warm-air intrusion. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine dew-point and wind forecasts ahead of market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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