Forecast models from sources including GFS data indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Milan on September 8 under clear to partly cloudy skies driven by a lingering warm air mass and light southeasterly flow. This aligns with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 61.5% implied probability, as recent days have featured highs of 33–35°C amid stable high pressure before a frontal system introduces scattered thunderstorms and a modest cooldown by midweek. Historical September averages hover near 26–28°C, underscoring the current anomaly, while model consensus narrows the likely range to 31–33°C with limited spread in ensemble runs. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty window and official observational thresholds for daily maxima when pricing the 31°C and 33°C alternatives at 25% and 11.5%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日米兰最高气温？
9月8日米兰最高气温？
32°C 60%
31°C 27%
33°C 11%
30°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
27%
32°C
60%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35℃
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
32°C 60%
31°C 27%
33°C 11%
30°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
28°C或以下
$212 交易量
<1%
29°C
$258 交易量
1%
30°C
$378 交易量
4%
31°C
$1,297 交易量
27%
32°C
$1,315 交易量
60%
33°C
$347 交易量
11%
34°C
$217 交易量
3%
35℃
$0 交易量
2%
36°C
$105 交易量
1%
37°C
$145 交易量
<1%
38°C或更高
$765 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS data indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Milan on September 8 under clear to partly cloudy skies driven by a lingering warm air mass and light southeasterly flow. This aligns with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 61.5% implied probability, as recent days have featured highs of 33–35°C amid stable high pressure before a frontal system introduces scattered thunderstorms and a modest cooldown by midweek. Historical September averages hover near 26–28°C, underscoring the current anomaly, while model consensus narrows the likely range to 31–33°C with limited spread in ensemble runs. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty window and official observational thresholds for daily maxima when pricing the 31°C and 33°C alternatives at 25% and 11.5%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$5,040结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS data indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Milan on September 8 under clear to partly cloudy skies driven by a lingering warm air mass and light southeasterly flow. This aligns with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 61.5% implied probability, as recent days have featured highs of 33–35°C amid stable high pressure before a frontal system introduces scattered thunderstorms and a modest cooldown by midweek. Historical September averages hover near 26–28°C, underscoring the current anomaly, while model consensus narrows the likely range to 31–33°C with limited spread in ensemble runs. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty window and official observational thresholds for daily maxima when pricing the 31°C and 33°C alternatives at 25% and 11.5%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,040结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from sources including GFS data indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Milan on September 8 under clear to partly cloudy skies driven by a lingering warm air mass and light southeasterly flow. This aligns with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 61.5% implied probability, as recent days have featured highs of 33–35°C amid stable high pressure before a frontal system introduces scattered thunderstorms and a modest cooldown by midweek. Historical September averages hover near 26–28°C, underscoring the current anomaly, while model consensus narrows the likely range to 31–33°C with limited spread in ensemble runs. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty window and official observational thresholds for daily maxima when pricing the 31°C and 33°C alternatives at 25% and 11.5%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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