Recent short-range forecast guidance from models such as those used by the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international agencies points to a peak temperature near 30–32 °C on July 27, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Clear skies and light southerly flow are expected to allow strong daytime heating, while the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea keeps extreme values above 34 °C unlikely. Small differences among 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C hinge on precise timing of any afternoon sea breeze, boundary-layer moisture, and minor model spread in 850 hPa temperatures. Updated runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月27日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
7月27日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
31°C 40%
32°C 31%
30°C 16%
33°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-27
28°C或以下
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
16%
31°C
40%
32°C
31%
33°C
14%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
31°C 40%
32°C 31%
30°C 16%
33°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-27
28°C或以下
$22 交易量
2%
29°C
$145 交易量
6%
30°C
$175 交易量
16%
31°C
$881 交易量
40%
32°C
$224 交易量
31%
33°C
$190 交易量
14%
34°C
$134 交易量
2%
35°C
$10 交易量
2%
36°C
$125 交易量
<1%
37°C
$129 交易量
<1%
38°C或更高
$138 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from models such as those used by the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international agencies points to a peak temperature near 30–32 °C on July 27, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Clear skies and light southerly flow are expected to allow strong daytime heating, while the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea keeps extreme values above 34 °C unlikely. Small differences among 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C hinge on precise timing of any afternoon sea breeze, boundary-layer moisture, and minor model spread in 850 hPa temperatures. Updated runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,173结束日期
2026-07-27市场开放时间
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from models such as those used by the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international agencies points to a peak temperature near 30–32 °C on July 27, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Clear skies and light southerly flow are expected to allow strong daytime heating, while the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea keeps extreme values above 34 °C unlikely. Small differences among 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C hinge on precise timing of any afternoon sea breeze, boundary-layer moisture, and minor model spread in 850 hPa temperatures. Updated runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,173结束日期
2026-07-27市场开放时间
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast guidance from models such as those used by the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international agencies points to a peak temperature near 30–32 °C on July 27, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Clear skies and light southerly flow are expected to allow strong daytime heating, while the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea keeps extreme values above 34 °C unlikely. Small differences among 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C hinge on precise timing of any afternoon sea breeze, boundary-layer moisture, and minor model spread in 850 hPa temperatures. Updated runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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