The closely contested 50% implied probability for an "Up" close on the Gengar (Cosmos Holo) EB Games Exclusive reflects a tug-of-war between strong collector interest in the 2026 Perfect Order promo and softer realized sales data. TCGPlayer listings hover near the $184.84 resolution threshold with recent transactions around $190, buoyed by Gengar's enduring popularity and the card's distinctive cosmos holo pattern, yet eBay comps for raw copies have clustered lower in the $126–$144 range amid broader promo supply. Limited EB Games distribution creates scarcity-driven upside potential, but thin trading volume and typical end-of-month volatility keep sentiment balanced. Fresh sales reports or secondary market spikes through late August could decisively shift momentum ahead of the August 31 cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Gengar （ Cosmos Holo ） — 8月31日EB Games独家价格上涨/下跌？
Gengar （ Cosmos Holo ） — 8月31日EB Games独家价格上涨/下跌？
Up
50% 概率
最新
最新
2026-08-31
Up
50% 概率
最新
最新
2026-08-31
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $185.44.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $185.44.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $185.44.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).The closely contested 50% implied probability for an "Up" close on the Gengar (Cosmos Holo) EB Games Exclusive reflects a tug-of-war between strong collector interest in the 2026 Perfect Order promo and softer realized sales data. TCGPlayer listings hover near the $184.84 resolution threshold with recent transactions around $190, buoyed by Gengar's enduring popularity and the card's distinctive cosmos holo pattern, yet eBay comps for raw copies have clustered lower in the $126–$144 range amid broader promo supply. Limited EB Games distribution creates scarcity-driven upside potential, but thin trading volume and typical end-of-month volatility keep sentiment balanced. Fresh sales reports or secondary market spikes through late August could decisively shift momentum ahead of the August 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $185.44.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $185.44.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $185.44.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $185.44.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $185.44.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $185.44.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $185.44.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $185.44.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).The closely contested 50% implied probability for an "Up" close on the Gengar (Cosmos Holo) EB Games Exclusive reflects a tug-of-war between strong collector interest in the 2026 Perfect Order promo and softer realized sales data. TCGPlayer listings hover near the $184.84 resolution threshold with recent transactions around $190, buoyed by Gengar's enduring popularity and the card's distinctive cosmos holo pattern, yet eBay comps for raw copies have clustered lower in the $126–$144 range amid broader promo supply. Limited EB Games distribution creates scarcity-driven upside potential, but thin trading volume and typical end-of-month volatility keep sentiment balanced. Fresh sales reports or secondary market spikes through late August could decisively shift momentum ahead of the August 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $185.44.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $185.44.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $185.44.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $185.44.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $185.44.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The closely contested 50% implied probability for an "Up" close on the Gengar (Cosmos Holo) EB Games Exclusive reflects a tug-of-war between strong collector interest in the 2026 Perfect Order promo and softer realized sales data. TCGPlayer listings hover near the $184.84 resolution threshold with recent transactions around $190, buoyed by Gengar's enduring popularity and the card's distinctive cosmos holo pattern, yet eBay comps for raw copies have clustered lower in the $126–$144 range amid broader promo supply. Limited EB Games distribution creates scarcity-driven upside potential, but thin trading volume and typical end-of-month volatility keep sentiment balanced. Fresh sales reports or secondary market spikes through late August could decisively shift momentum ahead of the August 31 cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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