The closely contested 50.5% implied probability for an "Up" move in the First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) by August 31 stems from steady collector demand for its Kanto, Sinnoh, and Alola promo cards offsetting broader TCG market softness. Series 1, released in March at $14.99 MSRP, has traded in the low-to-mid $60s on platforms like TCGPlayer and Collectr amid heavy retail discounting, while the August 7 launch of Series 3 has introduced fresh supply and shifted some attention toward newer regional promos. Ongoing Amazon deals on Series 2 and typical post-hype price erosion for sealed product create downward pressure, yet strong secondary-market interest in the illustration rares keeps the market balanced. A decisive shift could come from final-week retailer restocks, updated Collectr snapshots, or any Pokémon TCG announcement that reignites nostalgia-driven buying.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日第一个合作伙伴插图集（系列1 ）价格上涨/下跌？
8月31日第一个合作伙伴插图集（系列1 ）价格上涨/下跌？
上涨
28% 概率
最新
最新
2026-08-31
上涨
28% 概率
最新
最新
2026-08-31
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $66.86.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $66.86.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $66.86.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).The closely contested 50.5% implied probability for an "Up" move in the First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) by August 31 stems from steady collector demand for its Kanto, Sinnoh, and Alola promo cards offsetting broader TCG market softness. Series 1, released in March at $14.99 MSRP, has traded in the low-to-mid $60s on platforms like TCGPlayer and Collectr amid heavy retail discounting, while the August 7 launch of Series 3 has introduced fresh supply and shifted some attention toward newer regional promos. Ongoing Amazon deals on Series 2 and typical post-hype price erosion for sealed product create downward pressure, yet strong secondary-market interest in the illustration rares keeps the market balanced. A decisive shift could come from final-week retailer restocks, updated Collectr snapshots, or any Pokémon TCG announcement that reignites nostalgia-driven buying.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $66.86.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $66.86.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $66.86.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $66.86.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $66.86.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $66.86.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $66.86.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $66.86.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).The closely contested 50.5% implied probability for an "Up" move in the First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) by August 31 stems from steady collector demand for its Kanto, Sinnoh, and Alola promo cards offsetting broader TCG market softness. Series 1, released in March at $14.99 MSRP, has traded in the low-to-mid $60s on platforms like TCGPlayer and Collectr amid heavy retail discounting, while the August 7 launch of Series 3 has introduced fresh supply and shifted some attention toward newer regional promos. Ongoing Amazon deals on Series 2 and typical post-hype price erosion for sealed product create downward pressure, yet strong secondary-market interest in the illustration rares keeps the market balanced. A decisive shift could come from final-week retailer restocks, updated Collectr snapshots, or any Pokémon TCG announcement that reignites nostalgia-driven buying.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $66.86.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $66.86.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $66.86.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $66.86.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $66.86.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The closely contested 50.5% implied probability for an "Up" move in the First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) by August 31 stems from steady collector demand for its Kanto, Sinnoh, and Alola promo cards offsetting broader TCG market softness. Series 1, released in March at $14.99 MSRP, has traded in the low-to-mid $60s on platforms like TCGPlayer and Collectr amid heavy retail discounting, while the August 7 launch of Series 3 has introduced fresh supply and shifted some attention toward newer regional promos. Ongoing Amazon deals on Series 2 and typical post-hype price erosion for sealed product create downward pressure, yet strong secondary-market interest in the illustration rares keeps the market balanced. A decisive shift could come from final-week retailer restocks, updated Collectr snapshots, or any Pokémon TCG announcement that reignites nostalgia-driven buying.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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