Ongoing political deadlock in France’s hung parliament, stemming from the 2024 snap legislative elections, continues to fuel speculation about another dissolution of the National Assembly. Fiscal disputes over budgets and spending have kept pressure on President Macron, though he has so far avoided calling new parliamentary votes by appointing prime ministers and navigating coalitions. The March 2026 municipal elections provided fresh signals of voter sentiment ahead of the 2027 presidential contest, while the far-right National Rally maintains strong polling. No major catalyst has emerged in recent weeks to shift probabilities sharply, leaving traders assigning low implied odds to near-term dates and reflecting broad uncertainty around timing. The next scheduled indirect Senate elections in September 2026 and constitutional limits on snap calls after prior votes add further context to resolution risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,063,492 交易量
2026-06-30
2026年6月30日
1%
$1,063,492 交易量
2026年6月30日
$81,858 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ongoing political deadlock in France’s hung parliament, stemming from the 2024 snap legislative elections, continues to fuel speculation about another dissolution of the National Assembly. Fiscal disputes over budgets and spending have kept pressure on President Macron, though he has so far avoided calling new parliamentary votes by appointing prime ministers and navigating coalitions. The March 2026 municipal elections provided fresh signals of voter sentiment ahead of the 2027 presidential contest, while the far-right National Rally maintains strong polling. No major catalyst has emerged in recent weeks to shift probabilities sharply, leaving traders assigning low implied odds to near-term dates and reflecting broad uncertainty around timing. The next scheduled indirect Senate elections in September 2026 and constitutional limits on snap calls after prior votes add further context to resolution risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ET
交易量
$1,063,492结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ongoing political deadlock in France’s hung parliament, stemming from the 2024 snap legislative elections, continues to fuel speculation about another dissolution of the National Assembly. Fiscal disputes over budgets and spending have kept pressure on President Macron, though he has so far avoided calling new parliamentary votes by appointing prime ministers and navigating coalitions. The March 2026 municipal elections provided fresh signals of voter sentiment ahead of the 2027 presidential contest, while the far-right National Rally maintains strong polling. No major catalyst has emerged in recent weeks to shift probabilities sharply, leaving traders assigning low implied odds to near-term dates and reflecting broad uncertainty around timing. The next scheduled indirect Senate elections in September 2026 and constitutional limits on snap calls after prior votes add further context to resolution risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$1,063,492结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing political deadlock in France’s hung parliament, stemming from the 2024 snap legislative elections, continues to fuel speculation about another dissolution of the National Assembly. Fiscal disputes over budgets and spending have kept pressure on President Macron, though he has so far avoided calling new parliamentary votes by appointing prime ministers and navigating coalitions. The March 2026 municipal elections provided fresh signals of voter sentiment ahead of the 2027 presidential contest, while the far-right National Rally maintains strong polling. No major catalyst has emerged in recent weeks to shift probabilities sharply, leaving traders assigning low implied odds to near-term dates and reflecting broad uncertainty around timing. The next scheduled indirect Senate elections in September 2026 and constitutional limits on snap calls after prior votes add further context to resolution risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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