French President Emmanuel Macron's second term runs until May 2027, with constitutional term limits barring a consecutive third run. He has repeatedly stated his intention to complete the mandate and exit politics afterward, including a public confirmation in April 2026. Persistent fragmentation in the National Assembly, repeated prime ministerial turnovers, and no-confidence pressures since the 2024 snap elections have prompted occasional opposition calls for an early departure. However, Macron has rejected resignation demands and maintained continuity through diplomatic and domestic initiatives into mid-2026. Trader consensus reflects these structural and personal factors, pricing an exit before the June 30, 2026, horizon at minimal levels. Near-term variables include budget negotiations and further parliamentary maneuvers that could test government stability without altering the timeline for presidential succession.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$2,031,272 交易量
2026-06-30
分组项标题：2026年6月30日
1%
$2,031,272 交易量
分组项标题：2026年6月30日
$439,428 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron's second term runs until May 2027, with constitutional term limits barring a consecutive third run. He has repeatedly stated his intention to complete the mandate and exit politics afterward, including a public confirmation in April 2026. Persistent fragmentation in the National Assembly, repeated prime ministerial turnovers, and no-confidence pressures since the 2024 snap elections have prompted occasional opposition calls for an early departure. However, Macron has rejected resignation demands and maintained continuity through diplomatic and domestic initiatives into mid-2026. Trader consensus reflects these structural and personal factors, pricing an exit before the June 30, 2026, horizon at minimal levels. Near-term variables include budget negotiations and further parliamentary maneuvers that could test government stability without altering the timeline for presidential succession.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
交易量
$2,031,272结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron's second term runs until May 2027, with constitutional term limits barring a consecutive third run. He has repeatedly stated his intention to complete the mandate and exit politics afterward, including a public confirmation in April 2026. Persistent fragmentation in the National Assembly, repeated prime ministerial turnovers, and no-confidence pressures since the 2024 snap elections have prompted occasional opposition calls for an early departure. However, Macron has rejected resignation demands and maintained continuity through diplomatic and domestic initiatives into mid-2026. Trader consensus reflects these structural and personal factors, pricing an exit before the June 30, 2026, horizon at minimal levels. Near-term variables include budget negotiations and further parliamentary maneuvers that could test government stability without altering the timeline for presidential succession.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$2,031,272结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...French President Emmanuel Macron's second term runs until May 2027, with constitutional term limits barring a consecutive third run. He has repeatedly stated his intention to complete the mandate and exit politics afterward, including a public confirmation in April 2026. Persistent fragmentation in the National Assembly, repeated prime ministerial turnovers, and no-confidence pressures since the 2024 snap elections have prompted occasional opposition calls for an early departure. However, Macron has rejected resignation demands and maintained continuity through diplomatic and domestic initiatives into mid-2026. Trader consensus reflects these structural and personal factors, pricing an exit before the June 30, 2026, horizon at minimal levels. Near-term variables include budget negotiations and further parliamentary maneuvers that could test government stability without altering the timeline for presidential succession.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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