The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote, which favored a closed primary limited to its own affiliates and allies over a broader united left process, has driven the market's strong consensus toward cancellation. This decision sidelined participation by the PS and Place Publique, while La France Insoumise, the French Communist Party, and others had already opted out, leaving only narrower involvement from Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!. Subsequent candidate withdrawals, including by Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, along with internal party criticisms following the 2026 municipal elections, further eroded momentum for the October 11 primary. Trader pricing reflects these structural barriers, though renewed cross-party negotiations before the 2027 presidential cycle could theoretically revive the contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于已取消 93.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$212,616 交易量
$212,616 交易量
2026-10-10
已取消
94%
Marine Tondelier
1%
François Ruffin
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
本杰明·卢卡斯-伦迪
<1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
已取消 93.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$212,616 交易量
$212,616 交易量
2026-10-10
已取消
$76,903 交易量
94%
Marine Tondelier
$49,788 交易量
1%
François Ruffin
$31,112 交易量
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,369 交易量
1%
本杰明·卢卡斯-伦迪
$4,216 交易量
<1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 交易量
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote, which favored a closed primary limited to its own affiliates and allies over a broader united left process, has driven the market's strong consensus toward cancellation. This decision sidelined participation by the PS and Place Publique, while La France Insoumise, the French Communist Party, and others had already opted out, leaving only narrower involvement from Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!. Subsequent candidate withdrawals, including by Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, along with internal party criticisms following the 2026 municipal elections, further eroded momentum for the October 11 primary. Trader pricing reflects these structural barriers, though renewed cross-party negotiations before the 2027 presidential cycle could theoretically revive the contest.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
交易量
$212,616结束日期
2026-10-11市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETThe 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote, which favored a closed primary limited to its own affiliates and allies over a broader united left process, has driven the market's strong consensus toward cancellation. This decision sidelined participation by the PS and Place Publique, while La France Insoumise, the French Communist Party, and others had already opted out, leaving only narrower involvement from Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!. Subsequent candidate withdrawals, including by Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, along with internal party criticisms following the 2026 municipal elections, further eroded momentum for the October 11 primary. Trader pricing reflects these structural barriers, though renewed cross-party negotiations before the 2027 presidential cycle could theoretically revive the contest.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$212,616结束日期
2026-10-11市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETThe Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote, which favored a closed primary limited to its own affiliates and allies over a broader united left process, has driven the market's strong consensus toward cancellation. This decision sidelined participation by the PS and Place Publique, while La France Insoumise, the French Communist Party, and others had already opted out, leaving only narrower involvement from Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!. Subsequent candidate withdrawals, including by Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy, along with internal party criticisms following the 2026 municipal elections, further eroded momentum for the October 11 primary. Trader pricing reflects these structural barriers, though renewed cross-party negotiations before the 2027 presidential cycle could theoretically revive the contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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