Skip to main content
icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
选举·法国选举

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
选举·法国选举

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$64,746 交易量

2027-04-22
Polymarket

$64,746 交易量

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$1,418 交易量

66%

Jordan Bardella

$4,893 交易量

8%

Michel Barnier

$228 交易量

12%

Valérie Pécresse

$511 交易量

5%

Élisabeth Borne

$320 交易量

14%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$587 交易量

5%

Jean Castex

$671 交易量

5%

Gérald Darmanin

$863 交易量

3%

Sébastien Lecornu

$2,054 交易量

18%

François Bayrou

$553 交易量

6%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$547 交易量

46%

Carole Delga

$184 交易量

12%

Olivier Faure

$2,047 交易量

36%

François Hollande

$1,029 交易量

34%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$9,654 交易量

93%

Manuel Bompard

$2,929 交易量

6%

Mathilde Panot

$17,061 交易量

4%

Dominique de Villepin

$247 交易量

53%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.France’s 2027 presidential race has drawn an unusually large field of declared or prospective candidates in 2026, driven by Emmanuel Macron’s ineligibility for a third term and the fragmentation of both the centre and left. Marine Le Pen formally launched her campaign in July after an appeals court ruling reduced barriers from her embezzlement conviction, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Bruno Retailleau announced their bids earlier in the year. Roughly thirty figures have expressed interest, including potential centre-right contenders such as Édouard Philippe and left-leaning options like Raphaël Glucksmann. An October 2026 United Left primary and ongoing coalition talks on the right could prompt additional announcements or withdrawals before year-end, shaping which names remain viable for the first-round ballot in 2027.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$64,746
结束日期
2027-04-23
市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.France’s 2027 presidential race has drawn an unusually large field of declared or prospective candidates in 2026, driven by Emmanuel Macron’s ineligibility for a third term and the fragmentation of both the centre and left. Marine Le Pen formally launched her campaign in July after an appeals court ruling reduced barriers from her embezzlement conviction, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Bruno Retailleau announced their bids earlier in the year. Roughly thirty figures have expressed interest, including potential centre-right contenders such as Édouard Philippe and left-leaning options like Raphaël Glucksmann. An October 2026 United Left primary and ongoing coalition talks on the right could prompt additional announcements or withdrawals before year-end, shaping which names remain viable for the first-round ballot in 2027.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$64,746
结束日期
2027-04-23
市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

相关

icon for Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

95%
icon for 问题：玛丽娜·勒庞会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？

问题：玛丽娜·勒庞会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？

33%
是
icon for Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

87%

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 21 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Gabriel Attal"，概率为 100%，其次是"Jean-Luc Mélenchon"，概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?"已产生 $64.7K 的总交易量（自Apr 22, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 21 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?"的当前领先者是"Gabriel Attal"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Jean-Luc Mélenchon"，概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。