Federal investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell's alleged sexual misconduct remain in preliminary stages following FBI searches and device seizures in late August 2026, with no charges filed or arrest executed. State probes by the Manhattan DA and Los Angeles authorities, opened after multiple accusers came forward in spring 2026, continue without reported timelines for resolution. Swalwell resigned from Congress and suspended his California gubernatorial bid in April amid the allegations, which he has denied. Trader consensus for no arrest by September 30 reflects standard pacing in federal civil rights and state sexual assault cases, where search warrants and device analysis precede potential indictments by weeks or months, absent new public developments signaling imminent action.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
7% 概率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
是
7% 概率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Federal investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell's alleged sexual misconduct remain in preliminary stages following FBI searches and device seizures in late August 2026, with no charges filed or arrest executed. State probes by the Manhattan DA and Los Angeles authorities, opened after multiple accusers came forward in spring 2026, continue without reported timelines for resolution. Swalwell resigned from Congress and suspended his California gubernatorial bid in April amid the allegations, which he has denied. Trader consensus for no arrest by September 30 reflects standard pacing in federal civil rights and state sexual assault cases, where search warrants and device analysis precede potential indictments by weeks or months, absent new public developments signaling imminent action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
交易量
$22结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Federal investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell's alleged sexual misconduct remain in preliminary stages following FBI searches and device seizures in late August 2026, with no charges filed or arrest executed. State probes by the Manhattan DA and Los Angeles authorities, opened after multiple accusers came forward in spring 2026, continue without reported timelines for resolution. Swalwell resigned from Congress and suspended his California gubernatorial bid in April amid the allegations, which he has denied. Trader consensus for no arrest by September 30 reflects standard pacing in federal civil rights and state sexual assault cases, where search warrants and device analysis precede potential indictments by weeks or months, absent new public developments signaling imminent action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$22结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETFederal investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell's alleged sexual misconduct remain in preliminary stages following FBI searches and device seizures in late August 2026, with no charges filed or arrest executed. State probes by the Manhattan DA and Los Angeles authorities, opened after multiple accusers came forward in spring 2026, continue without reported timelines for resolution. Swalwell resigned from Congress and suspended his California gubernatorial bid in April amid the allegations, which he has denied. Trader consensus for no arrest by September 30 reflects standard pacing in federal civil rights and state sexual assault cases, where search warrants and device analysis precede potential indictments by weeks or months, absent new public developments signaling imminent action.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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