Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X, averaging 30–50 qualifying main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts per day in tracker data through late August 2026, anchors trader expectations for the 40-64 bin over the three-day Labor Day weekend. Weekends and holidays typically moderate volume without major product launches, earnings, or political flashpoints, keeping totals in the mid-range rather than the higher spikes seen during election cycles or DOGE-related bursts. The next bins at 65-89 reflect upside potential from sustained commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI developments, while lower outcomes remain competitive only if activity dips sharply. Market-implied odds favor this steady baseline, informed by consistent multi-week patterns and the absence of catalysts that historically push daily counts above 60–70.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于40-64 50%
65-89 23%
少于40 21%
90-114 6.5%
最新
$18,446 交易量
最新
$18,446 交易量
2026-09-02
少于40
21%
40-64
50%
65-89
23%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 23%
少于40 21%
90-114 6.5%
最新
$18,446 交易量
最新
$18,446 交易量
2026-09-02
少于40
$739 交易量
21%
40-64
$7,893 交易量
50%
65-89
$1,259 交易量
23%
90-114
$2,716 交易量
6%
115-139
$1,337 交易量
1%
140-164
$2,186 交易量
1%
165-189
$1,344 交易量
<1%
190-214
$424 交易量
<1%
215-239
$304 交易量
<1%
240+
$244 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X, averaging 30–50 qualifying main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts per day in tracker data through late August 2026, anchors trader expectations for the 40-64 bin over the three-day Labor Day weekend. Weekends and holidays typically moderate volume without major product launches, earnings, or political flashpoints, keeping totals in the mid-range rather than the higher spikes seen during election cycles or DOGE-related bursts. The next bins at 65-89 reflect upside potential from sustained commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI developments, while lower outcomes remain competitive only if activity dips sharply. Market-implied odds favor this steady baseline, informed by consistent multi-week patterns and the absence of catalysts that historically push daily counts above 60–70.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
交易量
$18,446结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:07 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X, averaging 30–50 qualifying main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts per day in tracker data through late August 2026, anchors trader expectations for the 40-64 bin over the three-day Labor Day weekend. Weekends and holidays typically moderate volume without major product launches, earnings, or political flashpoints, keeping totals in the mid-range rather than the higher spikes seen during election cycles or DOGE-related bursts. The next bins at 65-89 reflect upside potential from sustained commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI developments, while lower outcomes remain competitive only if activity dips sharply. Market-implied odds favor this steady baseline, informed by consistent multi-week patterns and the absence of catalysts that historically push daily counts above 60–70.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$18,446结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:07 PM ETElon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X, averaging 30–50 qualifying main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts per day in tracker data through late August 2026, anchors trader expectations for the 40-64 bin over the three-day Labor Day weekend. Weekends and holidays typically moderate volume without major product launches, earnings, or political flashpoints, keeping totals in the mid-range rather than the higher spikes seen during election cycles or DOGE-related bursts. The next bins at 65-89 reflect upside potential from sustained commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI developments, while lower outcomes remain competitive only if activity dips sharply. Market-implied odds favor this steady baseline, informed by consistent multi-week patterns and the absence of catalysts that historically push daily counts above 60–70.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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