Trader consensus points to Elon Musk posting 40-64 tweets across the August 29-31 window, driven by his established pattern of moderate weekend activity absent major company news or viral moments. Musk’s output typically rises with Tesla earnings, SpaceX milestones, or timely commentary and falls during travel or quiet stretches, yet three-day baselines in similar late-summer periods have clustered in this range. No high-profile product launches or public appearances are confirmed for the holiday weekend, supporting the market’s lean toward steady rather than elevated volume. Any last-minute statements or breaking developments could push totals higher, but current trader positioning treats the 40-64 band as the clearest reflection of recent habits.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于40-64 68%
65-89 20%
少于40 9%
90-114 2.7%
$222,329 交易量
$222,329 交易量
2026-08-31
少于40
9%
40-64
68%
65-89
20%
90-114
3%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 68%
65-89 20%
少于40 9%
90-114 2.7%
$222,329 交易量
$222,329 交易量
2026-08-31
少于40
$47,186 交易量
9%
40-64
$29,130 交易量
68%
65-89
$34,357 交易量
20%
90-114
$38,842 交易量
3%
115-139
$40,294 交易量
1%
140-164
$12,584 交易量
<1%
165-189
$11,912 交易量
<1%
190-214
$4,938 交易量
<1%
215-239
$1,811 交易量
<1%
240+
$1,274 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 29 12:00 PM ET to August 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus points to Elon Musk posting 40-64 tweets across the August 29-31 window, driven by his established pattern of moderate weekend activity absent major company news or viral moments. Musk’s output typically rises with Tesla earnings, SpaceX milestones, or timely commentary and falls during travel or quiet stretches, yet three-day baselines in similar late-summer periods have clustered in this range. No high-profile product launches or public appearances are confirmed for the holiday weekend, supporting the market’s lean toward steady rather than elevated volume. Any last-minute statements or breaking developments could push totals higher, but current trader positioning treats the 40-64 band as the clearest reflection of recent habits.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 29 12:00 PM ET to August 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
交易量
$222,329结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:07 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 29 12:00 PM ET to August 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus points to Elon Musk posting 40-64 tweets across the August 29-31 window, driven by his established pattern of moderate weekend activity absent major company news or viral moments. Musk’s output typically rises with Tesla earnings, SpaceX milestones, or timely commentary and falls during travel or quiet stretches, yet three-day baselines in similar late-summer periods have clustered in this range. No high-profile product launches or public appearances are confirmed for the holiday weekend, supporting the market’s lean toward steady rather than elevated volume. Any last-minute statements or breaking developments could push totals higher, but current trader positioning treats the 40-64 band as the clearest reflection of recent habits.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 29 12:00 PM ET to August 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$222,329结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:07 PM ETTrader consensus points to Elon Musk posting 40-64 tweets across the August 29-31 window, driven by his established pattern of moderate weekend activity absent major company news or viral moments. Musk’s output typically rises with Tesla earnings, SpaceX milestones, or timely commentary and falls during travel or quiet stretches, yet three-day baselines in similar late-summer periods have clustered in this range. No high-profile product launches or public appearances are confirmed for the holiday weekend, supporting the market’s lean toward steady rather than elevated volume. Any last-minute statements or breaking developments could push totals higher, but current trader positioning treats the 40-64 band as the clearest reflection of recent habits.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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