**The high 93.8% implied probability for Aziz Akhannouch departing as Morocco’s prime minister by December 31, 2026, stems primarily from the fixed September 23, 2026, parliamentary elections and his January–February 2026 decision to step down as leader of the ruling National Rally of Independents (RNI).** Akhannouch, appointed after the RNI-led coalition’s 2021 victory, relinquished the party presidency to Mohamed Chaouki, removing him from consideration to head any post-election government under Morocco’s constitutional process where the monarch appoints the prime minister from the largest party or coalition. This leadership transition, confirmed at the party conference, aligns with standard five-year electoral cycles and precludes his continuation regardless of RNI performance. Traders view the combination of the scheduled vote and his explicit term-limit stance as creating near-certain turnover before year-end, with limited pathways for reversal short of extraordinary constitutional changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$166,971 交易量
$166,971 交易量
是
$166,971 交易量
$166,971 交易量
An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Oct 2, 2025, 6:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**The high 93.8% implied probability for Aziz Akhannouch departing as Morocco’s prime minister by December 31, 2026, stems primarily from the fixed September 23, 2026, parliamentary elections and his January–February 2026 decision to step down as leader of the ruling National Rally of Independents (RNI).** Akhannouch, appointed after the RNI-led coalition’s 2021 victory, relinquished the party presidency to Mohamed Chaouki, removing him from consideration to head any post-election government under Morocco’s constitutional process where the monarch appoints the prime minister from the largest party or coalition. This leadership transition, confirmed at the party conference, aligns with standard five-year electoral cycles and precludes his continuation regardless of RNI performance. Traders view the combination of the scheduled vote and his explicit term-limit stance as creating near-certain turnover before year-end, with limited pathways for reversal short of extraordinary constitutional changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题