**The non-competitive nature of the open-seat Alabama U.S. Senate race between Republican nominee Barry Moore and Democrat Everett Wess, rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters with a projected margin exceeding 20 points, anchors trader expectations for total general election turnout near 1.5–1.7 million votes.** Recent primary and runoff participation—23% in May and just 10.7% in June, both below 2022 levels—signals limited voter enthusiasm in a state where midterm general turnout has historically hovered around 37% of eligible voters. With Alabama’s registered voter base exceeding 3.8 million and no major late-cycle developments or national catalysts evident, the tight distribution across the leading bins reflects uncertainty over baseline mobilization by both parties ahead of November 3. Factors such as get-out-the-vote efforts, Election Day weather, or unexpected campaign events could widen the range by altering participation among Republican-leaning rural voters or Democratic strongholds in urban and northern counties.