Hawaii's historically low voter participation, driven by persistent apathy and limited electoral competition, anchors trader expectations for the November 3 general election turnout. Recent primary results showed just 28-33% participation amid a quiet cycle, with analysts citing structural factors like all-mail voting's incomplete offset and voter perceptions that individual ballots matter little. Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green faces Republican Gary Cordery in a solidly Democratic contest with few contested down-ballot races, mirroring past midterms where lopsided margins suppressed engagement. With roughly 788,000 registered voters, the spread of probabilities across mid-range totals reflects uncertainty over whether modest enthusiasm gains or continued disinterest will prevail, alongside any late mobilization efforts in key areas like Oahu.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于370K-400K 20%
<310K 19%
430K-460K 17%
490K+ 17%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
<310K
19%
310K-340K
13%
340K-370K
9%
370K-400K
20%
400K-430K
5%
430K-460K
18%
460K-490K
8%
490K+
15%
370K-400K 20%
<310K 19%
430K-460K 17%
490K+ 17%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
<310K
$50 交易量
19%
310K-340K
$106 交易量
13%
340K-370K
$45 交易量
9%
370K-400K
$105 交易量
20%
400K-430K
$75 交易量
5%
430K-460K
$55 交易量
18%
460K-490K
$50 交易量
8%
490K+
$78 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hawaii's historically low voter participation, driven by persistent apathy and limited electoral competition, anchors trader expectations for the November 3 general election turnout. Recent primary results showed just 28-33% participation amid a quiet cycle, with analysts citing structural factors like all-mail voting's incomplete offset and voter perceptions that individual ballots matter little. Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green faces Republican Gary Cordery in a solidly Democratic contest with few contested down-ballot races, mirroring past midterms where lopsided margins suppressed engagement. With roughly 788,000 registered voters, the spread of probabilities across mid-range totals reflects uncertainty over whether modest enthusiasm gains or continued disinterest will prevail, alongside any late mobilization efforts in key areas like Oahu.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ET
交易量
$565结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hawaii's historically low voter participation, driven by persistent apathy and limited electoral competition, anchors trader expectations for the November 3 general election turnout. Recent primary results showed just 28-33% participation amid a quiet cycle, with analysts citing structural factors like all-mail voting's incomplete offset and voter perceptions that individual ballots matter little. Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green faces Republican Gary Cordery in a solidly Democratic contest with few contested down-ballot races, mirroring past midterms where lopsided margins suppressed engagement. With roughly 788,000 registered voters, the spread of probabilities across mid-range totals reflects uncertainty over whether modest enthusiasm gains or continued disinterest will prevail, alongside any late mobilization efforts in key areas like Oahu.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$565结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ETHawaii's historically low voter participation, driven by persistent apathy and limited electoral competition, anchors trader expectations for the November 3 general election turnout. Recent primary results showed just 28-33% participation amid a quiet cycle, with analysts citing structural factors like all-mail voting's incomplete offset and voter perceptions that individual ballots matter little. Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green faces Republican Gary Cordery in a solidly Democratic contest with few contested down-ballot races, mirroring past midterms where lopsided margins suppressed engagement. With roughly 788,000 registered voters, the spread of probabilities across mid-range totals reflects uncertainty over whether modest enthusiasm gains or continued disinterest will prevail, alongside any late mobilization efforts in key areas like Oahu.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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